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Utah Mammoth logoUTA
vs
CGYCalgary Flames logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Utah Mammoth vs Calgary Flames across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Utah Mammoth logoUtah Mammoth45-35-882+285251.851.519.1%78.3%
Calgary Flames logoCalgary Flames34-39-981-5248.948.347.116.2%80.4%

Betting Considerations

Utah Mammoth logoUtah Mammoth(Away)
25 days rest
15 fewer days rest than opponent
Lost 3 consecutive games
22-18-4 on the road this season
Allowing 3.8 goals/game last 5 (+27% vs season avg)
1-2 vs Calgary Flames this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Calgary Flames
0/10 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 19.1% average
Calgary Flames logoCalgary Flames(Home)
40 days rest
15 more days rest than opponent
23-13-5 at home this season
Averaging 2.0 goals/game last 5 (-23% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.4 goals/game last 5 (-24% vs season avg)
On 4-game homestand
2-1 vs Utah Mammoth this season
Lost 4 of last 7 games
Killed 9/9 penalties in last 3 games — above their 80.4% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Karel Vejmelka, projected starting goalie for Utah Mammoth with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisK. Vejmelka85%Clear #1 (73% start rate), 2 consecutive starts64.8961.01.783
Arsenii Sergeev, projected starting goalie for Calgary Flames with 42% confidence based on recent rotation analysisA. Sergeev42%Tandem split (7% start rate), 1 consecutive1.9640.50.800

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
May 1Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsHomeL 1–5
Apr 29Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayL 4–5 (SO)
Apr 27Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsHomeL 4–5 (OT)
Apr 24Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsHomeW 4–2
Apr 21Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayW 3–2
Apr 19Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayL 2–4
Apr 16St. Louis Blues logoSt. Louis BluesHomeL 3–5
Apr 14Winnipeg Jets logoWinnipeg JetsHomeW 5–3
Apr 12Calgary Flames logoCalgary FlamesAwayL 1–4
Apr 11Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesHomeL 1–4