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PITvs
Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)
St. Louis Blues(Home)
PITSTL
2025–26 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Pittsburgh Penguins vs St. Louis Blues across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 41-26-16 | 82 | +32 | 50 | 50.4 | 51.5 | 23.9% | 81.7% |
| St. Louis Blues | 37-33-12 | 82 | -24 | 47.6 | 47.2 | 47.4 | 17.6% | 76.7% |
Betting Considerations
Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
2 fewer days rest than opponent
Lost 4 consecutive games
21-12-8 on the road this season
Averaging 3.0 goals/game last 5 (-16% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.2 goals/game last 5 (+29% vs season avg)
1-1 vs St. Louis Blues this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to St. Louis Blues
0/6 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 23.9% average
PP (23.9%) has an edge vs St. Louis Blues's PK (76.7%)
St. Louis Blues(Home)2 more days rest than opponent
Won 4 consecutive games
20-14-7 at home this season
Averaging 5.0 goals/game last 5 (+77% vs season avg)
1-1 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season
PK (76.7%) vulnerable against Pittsburgh Penguins's PP (23.9%)
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 S. Skinner60%Tandem split (60% start rate), 2 consecutive | 27 | .885 | 0.85 | .805 |
 J. Hofer85%Clear #1 (67% start rate), 1 consecutive start | 46 | .909 | 0.81 | .777 |
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18 |  Philadelphia Flyers | Home | L 2–3 |
| Apr 14 | St. Louis Blues | Away | L 5–7 |
| Apr 12 |  Washington Capitals | Away | L 0–3 |
| Apr 11 | Washington Capitals | Home | L 3–6 |
| Apr 9 |  New Jersey Devils | Away | W 5–2 |
| Apr 5 |  Florida Panthers | Home | W 5–2 |
| Apr 4 | Florida Panthers | Home | W 9–4 |
| Apr 2 |  Tampa Bay Lightning | Away | L 3–6 |
| Mar 31 |  Detroit Red Wings | Home | W 5–1 |
| Mar 30 |  New York Islanders | Away | W 8–3 |