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TBLvs
Tampa Bay Lightning(Away)
Nashville Predators(Home)
TBLNSH
2026–27 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 8-3-2 | 13 | +6 | 54.3 | 54.7 | 55.2 | 15.2% | 77.1% |
| Nashville Predators | 5-4-5 | 14 | -3 | 47.6 | 47.5 | 48.5 | 31.9% | 88.9% |
Betting Considerations
Tampa Bay Lightning(Away)Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
2-3-2 on the road this season
Averaging 4.6 goals/game last 5 (+25% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.4 goals/game last 5 (+33% vs season avg)
0-0-1 vs Nashville Predators this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Nashville Predators
Nashville Predators(Home)Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
4-3-2 at home this season
Averaging 3.8 goals/game last 5 (+27% vs season avg)
On 5-game homestand
1-0 vs Tampa Bay Lightning this season
Lost 4 of last 7 games
Killed 10/10 penalties in last 3 games — above their 88.9% average
PP (31.9%) has an edge vs Tampa Bay Lightning's PK (77.1%)
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Hildeby75%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected | 3 | .885 | 0.74 | .947 |
 J. Saros75%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected | 10 | .902 | 0.81 | .778 |
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Nashville Predators | Away | L 4–5 (SO) |
| Oct 29 |  Winnipeg Jets | Home | W 6–4 |
| Oct 24 |  Utah Mammoth | Away | L 4–5 (OT) |
| Oct 23 |  Colorado Avalanche | Away | L 3–6 |
| Oct 20 |  Vegas Golden Knights | Away | W 6–2 |
| Oct 17 |  Vancouver Canucks | Home | W 4–2 |
| Oct 15 |  Seattle Kraken | Home | W 4–3 (OT) |
| Oct 13 |  New York Rangers | Away | L 1–4 |
| Oct 10 |  New York Islanders | Away | W 5–3 |
| Oct 8 |  Minnesota Wild | Home | W 3–2 |