Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning edged the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime on October 15, 2026. The underlying numbers told a different story — SEA actually held the xG edge (3.01 to 2.44) at 5-on-5, but it didn't matter on the scoreboard. High-danger chances at 5-on-5: TBL 10, SEA 8. Brandon Hagel found the net 2 times.

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Seattle Kraken logo
SEA3 - 4TBL (OT)
Oct 15, 2026 · Regular Season
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TBLP1231659.0201458.8161061.5151060.04450.01.251.6043.91150.0
P2211755.3151550.091047.4161257.16275.01.231.0055.110100.0
P3131350.0111052.47653.891047.44266.70.790.7850.21233.3
OT4180.03175.03175.04180.020100.00.640.0592.910100.0
Total614756.5494055.1352756.5443357.116866.73.913.4453.24357.1
SEAP1162341.0142041.2101638.5101540.04450.01.601.2556.11150.0
P2172144.7151550.010952.6121642.92625.01.001.2344.9010.0
P3131350.0101147.66746.210952.62433.30.780.7949.82166.7
OT1420.01325.01325.01420.0020.00.050.647.1010.0
Total476143.5404944.9273543.5334442.981633.33.443.9146.83442.9

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTBLSEA
TBL Favored
SEA Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TBL
SEA
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

SEA Attempts
TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

MAbHBMSSGv
SEA ShootTBL Shoot
SShot on Net
MMissed Shot
AbAttempt Blocked
HHit
BShot Blocked
GvGiveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (SEA) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TBL players, Columns = SEA players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TBL ↓ / SEA →GaudreauMcMannStephensonWrightMeyersCattonWintertonBeniersMcCannEberleKakkoSamoskevichDunnLarssonEvansMahuraOttavainenMontour
Guentzel856767501004471—05045207168380067
James6010010038643864756010038508677704450100
Point80404050884770003344257467380050
Cirelli830336705083808006086758060100100100
Girgensons052521000100000521000556730504643
Geekie4580861005010050674083100067751005850100
Hagel78050608056506767675667867862575043
Viel45676710045100450067100050631002913100
Kucherov7910010050834363676767445376674340038
Mikheyev1004343100—100100004310033606340203850
Holmberg—44501001001001001006750100—887545335050
Hedman710045714571501304550366750383375
Carlson8067676086436757575044468075360038
McDonagh2050506720632075755063100895546445457
Moser50506360504350554356444250655450044
Crozier20606054205420502060545058644514067
Cernak053536706705050556750755645606040
Lilleberg501001005056335010010010033331006450333350