Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders — October 10, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

Brandon Hagel poured in 3 goals to lead the Tampa Bay Lightning past the New York Islanders 5-3 on October 10, 2026. NYI held a slight 6-5 edge in high-danger chances. The underlying numbers told a different story — NYI actually held the xG edge (1.35 to 1.14) at 5-on-5, but it didn't matter on the scoreboard. Jake Guentzel found the net 2 times. Shots on goal: NYI 23, TBL 25.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders progressed on Oct 10, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL5 - 3NYI

Oct 10, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
NYI	P1	11	18	37.9	6	11	35.3	4	10	28.6	8	15	34.8	2	3	40.0	0.41	0.58	41.7	0	2	0.0
	P2	15	12	55.6	12	9	57.1	10	8	55.6	11	10	52.4	3	5	37.5	1.46	1.27	53.4	3	1	75.0
	P3	21	20	51.2	13	12	52.0	9	8	52.9	10	12	45.5	3	1	75.0	0.54	0.54	50.3	0	2	0.0
	Total	47	50	48.5	31	32	49.2	23	26	46.9	29	37	43.9	8	9	47.1	2.41	2.39	50.3	3	5	37.5
TBL	P1	18	11	62.1	11	6	64.7	10	4	71.4	15	8	65.2	3	2	60.0	0.58	0.41	58.3	2	0	100.0
	P2	12	15	44.4	9	12	42.9	8	10	44.4	10	11	47.6	5	3	62.5	1.27	1.46	46.6	1	3	25.0
	P3	20	21	48.8	12	13	48.0	8	9	47.1	12	10	54.5	1	3	25.0	0.54	0.54	49.7	2	0	100.0
	Total	50	47	51.5	32	31	50.8	26	23	53.1	37	29	56.1	9	8	52.9	2.39	2.41	49.7	5	3	62.5

Win Probability

NYI Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

NYI

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

NYI Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootNYI Shoot

Missed Shot

Hit Taken

Shot Blocked

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (NYI) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = NYI players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the NYI player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

NYI ↓ / TBL →	Guentzel	Cirelli	Point	Goncalves	Girgensons	Geekie	Hagel	Holmberg	Mikheyev	Kucherov	Sabourin	Cernak	Carlson	McDonagh	Moser	Crozier	D'Astous	Hedman
Horvat	50	71	50	100	76	50	60	79	80	0	50	72	60	72	67	86	83	80
Schenn	33	62	53	70	43	—	58	14	50	62	—	56	64	56	69	33	100	29
Palmieri	100	71	100	100	74	50	67	76	78	—	50	72	75	72	67	80	75	80
Pageau	33	33	55	75	50	—	37	50	50	38	—	50	40	57	25	50	100	40
Ritchie	45	55	53	70	0	—	50	0	0	62	—	20	73	20	73	20	100	0
Cizikas	17	0	33	40	—	11	0	—	—	0	11	20	33	0	67	0	0	—
Heineman	50	100	50	100	81	60	50	82	81	0	60	71	75	69	100	83	80	100
Duclair	44	40	67	75	80	—	50	50	80	75	—	50	75	57	50	50	100	33
Palat	47	45	86	67	100	11	67	67	100	75	13	50	88	50	80	38	38	60
Maccelli	0	57	0	33	100	22	83	100	100	0	22	50	50	50	75	25	20	100
Eklund	50	50	64	73	0	—	38	0	0	62	—	33	69	20	77	33	100	0
Holmstrom	18	14	14	25	0	50	17	0	0	0	50	29	0	0	25	25	0	33
Schaefer	58	67	69	75	77	100	65	82	83	67	100	79	72	83	76	70	100	29
Pelech	21	30	30	50	43	20	24	33	43	22	25	30	27	30	33	50	40	50
Stanley	45	56	62	75	75	100	40	75	75	58	100	50	65	—	75	63	100	0
DeAngelo	33	25	55	60	75	14	55	60	75	50	14	57	67	58	33	29	40	50
Pulock	27	38	29	40	43	29	33	33	43	17	33	40	33	33	50	38	20	67
Mayfield	27	20	50	0	71	0	67	55	71	0	0	45	80	50	100	0	0	50