Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning took down the Minnesota Wild 3-2 on Thursday. John Carlson had a 2-goal game. The numbers backed up the result — TBL generated 2.99 expected goals to MIN's 2.25 at 5-on-5 (54.5% Corsi).

← Back to Games
Minnesota Wild logo
MIN2 - 3TBL
Oct 8, 2026 · Regular Season
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TBLP1321666.7211165.614960.923971.99564.31.730.6772.120100.0
P2172540.5142041.2101245.5131743.33537.51.091.2846.01233.3
P3212150.0151648.4111542.3151451.74736.41.001.2844.000—
Total706253.0504751.5353649.3514056.0161748.53.833.2354.23260.0
MINP1163233.3112134.491439.192328.15935.70.671.7327.9020.0
P2251759.5201458.8121054.5171356.75362.51.281.0954.02166.7
P3212150.0161551.6151157.7141548.37463.61.281.0056.000—
Total627047.0475048.5363550.7405144.0171651.53.233.8345.82340.0

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTBLMIN
TBL Favored
MIN Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TBL
MIN
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

MIN Attempts
TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

SSGAbGvSAb
MIN ShootTBL Shoot
GGoal
SShot on Net
AbAttempt Blocked
GvGiveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (MIN) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TBL players, Columns = MIN players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TBL ↓ / MIN →Eriksson EkMcCarronSturmTreninKaprizovBoldyColemanFolignoShabanovBrinkHartmanYurovHughesSpurgeonBrodinBogosianHuntSpacek
Cirelli446057100654460—650607144426560100100
Goncalves6071715057506062407775205550635610067
Point100747462571008659457569275758726510078
Guentzel505043636714562568103167264271638986
Girgensons39100——734323100010001002944387510067
Geekie057573300—89—8088502030868683100
Hagel33575088573383716770677339317675100100
Viel0635743330—90—838850424010010075100
Kucherov100656550571008665408077275255756810075
Holmberg39100100—824315100010001003350386710067
Mikheyev33———703111—01701001833296710067
Crozier3822304043336986637069551718657110083
Carlson4075716475255759467373424350786710075
Cernak3810010010075442275608650100567150678386
D'Astous385050100432567100568063602027646910080
McDonagh3510010050684220—641000804240576310057
Moser07777676700573844471440456460100100
Hedman10044382567171478100504303540636350100