OTT

vs

NYI

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Ottawa Senators vs New York Islanders across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Ottawa Senators	42-27-10	79	+26	53.4	54.1	55.2	23.5%	75.0%
New York Islanders	43-31-5	79	-1	49.4	49.6	47.4	17.2%	81.1%

Betting Considerations

Ottawa Senators(Away)

Won 3 consecutive games

20-15-4 on the road this season

Averaging 4.4 goals/game last 5 (+29% vs season avg)

Allowing 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-28% vs season avg)

1-1 vs New York Islanders this season

5/6 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 23.5% average

New York Islanders(Home)

22-14-2 at home this season

Allowing 4.6 goals/game last 5 (+57% vs season avg)

1-1 vs Ottawa Senators this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Ottawa Senators

Lost 4 of last 7 games

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
J. Reimer50%Game tomorrow — starter may rest tonight after 5 consecutive starts	12	.883	0.89	.784
D. Rittich50%Game tomorrow — starter may rest tonight after 12 consecutive starts	29	.894	0.91	.849

Last 10 Games

Ottawa SenatorsNew York Islanders

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Apr 9	Florida Panthers	Home	W 5–1
Apr 7	Tampa Bay Lightning	Home	W 6–2
Apr 5	Carolina Hurricanes	Home	W 6–3
Apr 4	Minnesota Wild	Home	L 1–4
Apr 2	Buffalo Sabres	Home	W 4–1
Mar 31	Florida Panthers	Away	L 3–6
Mar 28	Tampa Bay Lightning	Away	L 2–4
Mar 26	Pittsburgh Penguins	Home	L 3–4 (SO)
Mar 24	Detroit Red Wings	Away	W 3–2
Mar 23	New York Rangers	Away	W 2–1