Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning — March 28, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Ottawa Senators 4-2 on March 28, 2026. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 60.6% Corsi and generated 2.92 expected goals compared to 2.10 from the Ottawa Senators at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 7 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Ottawa Senators at 5-on-5. Brandon Hagel was the most dangerous skater with 0.64 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Ottawa Senators outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 28-27 in total shots on goal.

← Back to Games

xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Mar 28, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

OTT2 - 4TBL

Mar 28, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TBL	P1	29	17	63.0	17	14	54.8	8	11	42.1	16	12	57.1	3	3	50.0	0.90	1.05	46.0	0	2	0.0
	P2	32	13	71.1	22	10	68.8	11	8	57.9	19	10	65.5	3	2	60.0	1.79	0.91	66.3	2	0	100.0
	P3	16	23	41.0	14	16	46.7	8	9	47.1	11	15	42.3	2	4	33.3	0.98	0.91	51.7	2	0	100.0
	Total	77	53	59.2	53	40	57.0	27	28	49.1	46	37	55.4	8	9	47.1	3.66	2.87	56.0	4	2	66.7
OTT	P1	17	29	37.0	14	17	45.2	11	8	57.9	12	16	42.9	3	3	50.0	1.05	0.90	54.0	2	0	100.0
	P2	13	32	28.9	10	22	31.3	8	11	42.1	10	19	34.5	2	3	40.0	0.91	1.79	33.7	0	2	0.0
	P3	23	16	59.0	16	14	53.3	9	8	52.9	15	11	57.7	4	2	66.7	0.91	0.98	48.3	0	2	0.0
	Total	53	77	40.8	40	53	43.0	28	27	50.9	37	46	44.6	9	8	52.9	2.87	3.66	44.0	2	4	33.3

Win Probability

TBL Favored

OTT Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TBL

OTT

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

OTT Attempts

TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

OTT ShootTBL Shoot

Save

Goal Against

Missed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (OTT) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TBL players, Columns = OTT players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TBL ↓ / OTT →	Pinto	Stützle	Eller	Greig	Cozens	Cousins	Tkachuk	Zetterlund	Foegele	Batherson	Amadio	Giroux	Kleven	Zub	Matinpalo	Spence	Yakemchuk	Thomson
Cirelli	70	64	50	89	50	64	55	50	67	57	69	82	84	71	73	86	60	80
Point	65	89	40	67	78	58	70	25	33	100	67	100	75	70	83	45	50	100
Guentzel	65	83	30	69	80	50	73	0	17	100	64	100	68	67	77	45	33	100
Goncalves	69	100	38	100	80	67	83	50	75	92	62	100	83	68	75	78	100	100
Gourde	100	54	67	64	70	100	57	89	71	53	100	30	67	50	71	83	57	67
Girgensons	100	33	40	50	57	100	40	80	50	22	100	13	44	17	57	67	43	57
Hagel	67	74	43	78	46	71	53	50	67	71	69	85	86	74	71	75	60	90
Perry	88	100	50	54	62	83	63	56	43	82	91	100	67	79	78	50	25	80
Holmberg	100	50	50	73	75	100	67	100	67	40	100	25	69	56	67	80	75	63
Bjorkstrand	33	89	33	75	50	20	50	33	33	86	43	88	92	62	100	29	80	—
Sabourin	—	67	75	80	80	—	80	75	80	60	—	67	89	100	71	67	50	50
Raddysh	67	79	67	79	77	59	80	80	67	82	61	70	87	66	79	57	75	100
Moser	63	78	70	75	77	61	77	67	60	83	59	60	85	62	82	55	75	100
McDonagh	33	33	0	70	50	50	50	40	0	43	40	40	64	53	71	50	0	80
D'Astous	100	71	31	50	60	100	63	50	45	60	100	57	54	82	64	50	57	73
Cernak	50	40	0	75	53	57	42	67	50	40	40	50	69	54	86	67	0	86
Lilleberg	100	67	33	33	67	100	33	50	50	43	100	57	45	80	44	56	67	33
Santini	100	—	0	—	—	100	—	0	0	—	100	—	—	—	100	0	0	100