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Washington Capitals logoWSH
vs
PITPittsburgh Penguins logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Washington Capitals logoWashington Capitals40-30-978+1649.149.850.517.4%79.8%
Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh Penguins41-22-1679+4050.150.651.624.6%81.8%

Betting Considerations

Washington Capitals logoWashington Capitals(Away)
16-19-4 on the road this season
Averaging 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+25% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.2 goals/game last 5 (+38% vs season avg)
0-1 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Pittsburgh Penguins
0/7 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 17.4% average
Missing Charlie Lindgren (DTD) — 21 GP starter
Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh Penguins(Home)
Won 3 consecutive games
20-12-8 at home this season
Averaging 5.4 goals/game last 5 (+50% vs season avg)
1-0 vs Washington Capitals this season
4/11 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 24.6% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Logan Thompson, projected starting goalie for Washington Capitals with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisL. Thompson85%Clear #1 (87% start rate), 1 consecutive start55.9130.79.807
Stuart Skinner, projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh Penguins with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Skinner60%Tandem split (53% start rate), 1 consecutive25.8860.81.820

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 8Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsAwayW 4–0
Apr 5New York Rangers logoNew York RangersAwayL 1–8
Apr 4Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo SabresHomeW 6–2
Apr 2New Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey DevilsAwayL 3–7
Mar 31Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia FlyersHomeW 6–4
Mar 28Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayW 5–4 (SO)
Mar 26Utah Mammoth logoUtah MammothAwayW 7–4
Mar 24St. Louis Blues logoSt. Louis BluesAwayL 0–3
Mar 22Colorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheHomeL 2–3 (OT)
Mar 20New Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey DevilsHomeW 2–1