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WSHvs
Washington Capitals(Away)
New York Rangers(Home)
WSHNYR
2025–26 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Capitals | 40-30-9 | 78 | +16 | 49.1 | 49.8 | 50.5 | 17.4% | 79.8% |
| New York Rangers | 33-37-9 | 79 | -13 | 48.6 | 47.8 | 49.1 | 25.5% | 79.7% |
Betting Considerations
Washington Capitals(Away)16-19-4 on the road this season
Averaging 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+25% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.2 goals/game last 5 (+38% vs season avg)
2-2 vs New York Rangers this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to New York Rangers
0/7 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 17.4% average
Missing Charlie Lindgren (DTD) — 21 GP starter
New York Rangers(Home)14-20-7 at home this season
Averaging 4.2 goals/game last 5 (+43% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-28% vs season avg)
On 8-game homestand
2-2 vs Washington Capitals this season
5/9 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 25.5% average
Killed 11/11 penalties in last 3 games — above their 79.7% average
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Thompson85%Clear #1 (87% start rate), 1 consecutive start | 55 | .913 | 0.79 | .807 |
 I. Shesterkin85%Clear #1 (73% start rate), 2 consecutive starts | 50 | .911 | 0.80 | .835 |
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8 |  Toronto Maple Leafs | Away | W 4–0 |
| Apr 5 | New York Rangers | Away | L 1–8 |
| Apr 4 |  Buffalo Sabres | Home | W 6–2 |
| Apr 2 |  New Jersey Devils | Away | L 3–7 |
| Mar 31 |  Philadelphia Flyers | Home | W 6–4 |
| Mar 28 |  Vegas Golden Knights | Away | W 5–4 (SO) |
| Mar 26 |  Utah Mammoth | Away | W 7–4 |
| Mar 24 |  St. Louis Blues | Away | L 0–3 |
| Mar 22 |  Colorado Avalanche | Home | L 2–3 (OT) |
| Mar 20 | New Jersey Devils | Home | W 2–1 |