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Minnesota Wild logoMIN
vs
DETDetroit Red Wings logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Minnesota Wild vs Detroit Red Wings across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota Wild45-22-1279+3649.149.950.725.5%79.2%
Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings41-29-979-549.250.350.723.2%77.4%

Betting Considerations

Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota Wild(Away)
23-12-4 on the road this season
Averaging 4.6 goals/game last 5 (+37% vs season avg)
2-0 vs Detroit Red Wings this season
4/8 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 25.5% average
Killed 5/5 penalties in last 3 games — above their 79.2% average
PP (25.5%) has an edge vs Detroit Red Wings's PK (77.4%)
Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings(Home)
21-15-4 at home this season
Averaging 3.6 goals/game last 5 (+22% vs season avg)
Allowing 3.6 goals/game last 5 (+18% vs season avg)
On 4-game homestand
0-1-1 vs Minnesota Wild this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Minnesota Wild
Lost 5 of last 7 games
4/6 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 23.2% average
Missing John Gibson (DTD) — 55 GP starter

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Filip Gustavsson, projected starting goalie for Minnesota Wild with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisF. Gustavsson60%Tandem split (60% start rate), 1 consecutive49.9060.87.787
John Gibson, projected starting goalie for Detroit Red Wings with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Gibson85%Clear #1 (87% start rate), 2 consecutive starts55.9040.81.793

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 9Dallas Stars logoDallas StarsAwayL 4–5
Apr 7Seattle Kraken logoSeattle KrakenHomeW 5–2
Apr 5Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsAwayW 5–4
Apr 4Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsAwayW 4–1
Apr 2Vancouver Canucks logoVancouver CanucksHomeW 5–2
Mar 28Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsAwayL 3–6
Mar 26Florida Panthers logoFlorida PanthersAwayW 3–2
Mar 24Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay LightningAwayL 3–6
Mar 21Dallas Stars logoDallas StarsHomeW 2–1 (OT)
Mar 19Chicago Blackhawks logoChicago BlackhawksHomeL 1–2