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FLAvs
Florida Panthers(Away)
Pittsburgh Penguins(Home)
PIT
2025–26 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Florida Panthers vs Pittsburgh Penguins across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37-38-4 | 79 | -40 | 52.7 | 51.9 | 52.6 | 19.4% | 80.8% | |
| 41-22-16 | 79 | +40 | 50.1 | 50.6 | 51.6 | 24.6% | 81.8% |
Betting Considerations
Lost 4 consecutive games
16-23-1 on the road this season
Averaging 2.4 goals/game last 5 (-19% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.8 goals/game last 5 (+40% vs season avg)
On 5-game road trip
0-3 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Pittsburgh Penguins
Won 3 consecutive games
20-12-8 at home this season
Averaging 5.4 goals/game last 5 (+50% vs season avg)
3-0 vs Florida Panthers this season
4/11 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 24.6% average
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | .877 | 0.97 | .763 | |
| 25 | .886 | 0.81 | .820 |
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9 | Away | L 1–5 | |
| Apr 7 | Away | L 3–4 (SO) | |
| Apr 5 | Away | L 2–5 | |
| Apr 4 | Away | L 4–9 | |
| Apr 2 | Home | W 2–1 | |
| Mar 31 | Home | W 6–3 | |
| Mar 29 | Away | L 1–3 | |
| Mar 28 | Away | L 2–5 | |
| Mar 26 | Home | L 2–3 | |
| Mar 24 | Home | W 5–4 (SO) |
