EDM

vs

NYI

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Edmonton Oilers	10-2-2	14	+17	50	50.6	50	33.3%	74.4%
New York Islanders	7-5-2	14	+1	49.9	49.7	48.3	15.9%	86.0%

Betting Considerations

Edmonton Oilers(Away)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

6-0-0 on the road this season

1-0 vs New York Islanders this season

Killed 8/9 penalties in last 3 games — above their 74.4% average

New York Islanders(Home)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

4-2-1 at home this season

Allowing 3.8 goals/game last 5 (+36% vs season avg)

0-1 vs Edmonton Oilers this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Edmonton Oilers

Strong PK (86.0%) should limit Edmonton Oilers's PP (33.3%)

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
D. Levi80%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected	7	.887	0.81	.760
S. Varlamov75%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected	4	.891	0.56	.818

Last 10 Games

Edmonton OilersNew York Islanders

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Oct 31	New York Islanders	Away	W 4–0
Oct 28	Calgary Flames	Home	W 4–0
Oct 26	Detroit Red Wings	Home	L 3–4 (SO)
Oct 24	Toronto Maple Leafs	Home	L 2–7
Oct 22	Carolina Hurricanes	Home	W 6–5 (SO)
Oct 20	Minnesota Wild	Home	W 4–3 (OT)
Oct 17	Utah Mammoth	Away	W 6–2
Oct 15	Utah Mammoth	Home	L 2–4
Oct 13	Los Angeles Kings	Away	W 4–1
Oct 10	San Jose Sharks	Away	W 3–1