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Carolina Hurricanes logoCAR
vs
OTTOttawa Senators logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Carolina Hurricanes vs Ottawa Senators across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes51-22-679+5159.558.755.924.6%80.6%
Ottawa Senators logoOttawa Senators42-27-1079+2653.454.155.223.5%75.0%

Betting Considerations

Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes(Away)
22-12-4 on the road this season
Averaging 5.0 goals/game last 5 (+37% vs season avg)
2-1 vs Ottawa Senators this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Ottawa Senators
PP (24.6%) has an edge vs Ottawa Senators's PK (75.0%)
Ottawa Senators logoOttawa Senators(Home)
Won 3 consecutive games
22-12-6 at home this season
Averaging 4.4 goals/game last 5 (+29% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-28% vs season avg)
On 6-game homestand
1-2 vs Carolina Hurricanes this season
5/6 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 23.5% average
PK (75.0%) vulnerable against Carolina Hurricanes's PP (24.6%)

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Frederik Andersen, projected starting goalie for Carolina Hurricanes with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisF. Andersen60%Tandem split (53% start rate), 1 consecutive34.8710.98.772
James Reimer, projected starting goalie for Ottawa Senators with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Reimer50%Game tomorrow — starter may rest tonight after 5 consecutive starts12.8830.89.784

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 9Chicago Blackhawks logoChicago BlackhawksAwayW 7–2
Apr 7Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsHomeW 6–5 (OT)
Apr 5Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsAwayL 3–6
Apr 4New York Islanders logoNew York IslandersHomeW 4–3
Apr 2Columbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue JacketsHomeW 5–1
Mar 31Columbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue JacketsAwayW 5–2
Mar 29Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeL 1–3
Mar 28New Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey DevilsHomeW 5–2
Mar 24Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensAwayL 2–5
Mar 22Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh PenguinsAwayW 5–1