Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers
2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs · Second Round
Carolina Hurricanes
Higher seed · Eastern Conference
3 – 0
Best of 7 · Game 4 next
Philadelphia Flyers
Lower seed · Eastern Conference
Next game: Saturday, May 9
Series Prediction
Updated after Game 3 · using in-series data · methodologyCAR 98%2% PHI
Most likely outcome: CAR in 4 (58% of simulations)
Pre-series: CAR 58% · PHI 42% → Now: CAR 98% · PHI 2% (+40 for CAR)
CAR leads 3-0. Teams up 3-0 historically win the series 99% of the time.
How we calculated this
Elo rating1559 vs 1484 (+75)+3.0% CAR
Goaltending (in series)GSAx/60: 0.21 vs -0.27+2.9% CAR
Power play (in series)PP xGF/GP: 0.90 vs 0.47+3.5% CAR
Penalty kill (in series)PK GA/GP: 0.67 vs 1.00 (lower better)+2.0% CAR
Home icePHI hosts+4.0% PHI
Win probability is computed via Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 runs) over the remaining games, using per-game win probabilities that combine these factors with home-ice advantage.
Game-by-Game Results
Series Stats at 5-on-5
Goaltender Stats
About this Second Round Series
The Carolina Hurricanes and Philadelphia Flyers meet in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs Second Round. The Carolina Hurricanes enter as the higher seed and host Games 1, 2, 5, and 7 (if necessary). First team to 4 wins advances.
Through 3 games, the series stands at CAR 3, PHI 0. All stats on this page aggregate across every game played in the series so far.