← Back to Games
Philadelphia Flyers logoPHI
vs
DETDetroit Red Wings logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers40-27-1279-748.649.451.115.6%77.3%
Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings41-29-979-549.250.350.723.2%77.4%

Betting Considerations

Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers(Away)
22-14-4 on the road this season
1-2 vs Detroit Red Wings this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Detroit Red Wings
Allowed 4 PP goals on 8 penalties in last 3 games — below their 77.3% average
Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings(Home)
21-15-4 at home this season
Averaging 3.6 goals/game last 5 (+22% vs season avg)
Allowing 3.6 goals/game last 5 (+18% vs season avg)
On 4-game homestand
2-1 vs Philadelphia Flyers this season
Lost 5 of last 7 games
4/6 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 23.2% average
PP (23.2%) has an edge vs Philadelphia Flyers's PK (77.3%)
Missing John Gibson (DTD) — 55 GP starter

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Samuel Ersson, projected starting goalie for Philadelphia Flyers with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Ersson60%Rotation likely — 4 consecutive (avg streak 2.2)32.8670.95.795
John Gibson, projected starting goalie for Detroit Red Wings with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Gibson85%Clear #1 (87% start rate), 2 consecutive starts55.9040.81.793

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 9Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsAwayL 3–6
Apr 7New Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey DevilsAwayW 5–1
Apr 5Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsHomeW 2–1 (OT)
Apr 3New York Islanders logoNew York IslandersAwayW 4–1
Apr 2Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsHomeL 2–4
Mar 31Washington Capitals logoWashington CapitalsAwayL 4–6
Mar 29Dallas Stars logoDallas StarsHomeW 2–1 (OT)
Mar 28Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsAwayW 5–3
Mar 26Chicago Blackhawks logoChicago BlackhawksHomeW 5–1
Mar 24Columbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue JacketsHomeL 2–3