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New York Rangers logoNYR
vs
DALDallas Stars logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for New York Rangers vs Dallas Stars across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
New York Rangers logoNew York Rangers33-37-979-1348.647.849.125.5%79.7%
Dallas Stars logoDallas Stars47-20-1279+4847.948.552.228.6%79.9%

Betting Considerations

New York Rangers logoNew York Rangers(Away)
19-17-2 on the road this season
Averaging 4.2 goals/game last 5 (+43% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-28% vs season avg)
1-0 vs Dallas Stars this season
5/9 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 25.5% average
Killed 11/11 penalties in last 3 games — above their 79.7% average
Dallas Stars logoDallas Stars(Home)
25-11-4 at home this season
On 5-game homestand
0-0-1 vs New York Rangers this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to New York Rangers
1/8 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 28.6% average
Allowed 4 PP goals on 9 penalties in last 3 games — below their 79.9% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Igor Shesterkin, projected starting goalie for New York Rangers with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisI. Shesterkin85%Clear #1 (73% start rate), 2 consecutive starts50.9110.80.835
Jake Oettinger, projected starting goalie for Dallas Stars with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Oettinger85%Clear #1 (67% start rate), 2 consecutive starts52.8980.84.796

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 8Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo SabresHomeL 3–5
Apr 5Washington Capitals logoWashington CapitalsHomeW 8–1
Apr 4Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsHomeW 4–1
Apr 2Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeL 2–3
Mar 31New Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey DevilsHomeW 4–1
Mar 29Florida Panthers logoFlorida PanthersHomeW 3–1
Mar 27Chicago Blackhawks logoChicago BlackhawksHomeW 6–1
Mar 25Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsAwayL 3–4
Mar 23Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsHomeL 1–2
Mar 22Winnipeg Jets logoWinnipeg JetsHomeL 2–3 (SO)