MIN

vs

DAL

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Minnesota Wild	45-22-12	79	+36	49.1	49.9	50.7	25.5%	79.2%
Dallas Stars	47-20-12	79	+48	47.9	48.5	52.2	28.6%	79.9%

Betting Considerations

Minnesota Wild(Away)

23-12-4 on the road this season

Averaging 4.6 goals/game last 5 (+37% vs season avg)

2-2 vs Dallas Stars this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Dallas Stars

4/8 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 25.5% average

Killed 5/5 penalties in last 3 games — above their 79.2% average

Dallas Stars(Home)

25-11-4 at home this season

On 5-game homestand

2-1-1 vs Minnesota Wild this season

1/8 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 28.6% average

Allowed 4 PP goals on 9 penalties in last 3 games — below their 79.9% average

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
F. Gustavsson60%Tandem split (60% start rate), 1 consecutive	49	.906	0.87	.787
J. Oettinger85%Clear #1 (67% start rate), 2 consecutive starts	52	.898	0.84	.796

Last 10 Games

Minnesota WildDallas Stars

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Apr 9	Dallas Stars	Away	L 4–5
Apr 7	Seattle Kraken	Home	W 5–2
Apr 5	Detroit Red Wings	Away	W 5–4
Apr 4	Ottawa Senators	Away	W 4–1
Apr 2	Vancouver Canucks	Home	W 5–2
Mar 28	Boston Bruins	Away	L 3–6
Mar 26	Florida Panthers	Away	W 3–2
Mar 24	Tampa Bay Lightning	Away	L 3–6
Mar 21	Dallas Stars	Home	W 2–1 (OT)
Mar 19	Chicago Blackhawks	Home	L 1–2