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Florida Panthers logoFLA
vs
MTLMontreal Canadiens logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Florida Panthers vs Montreal Canadiens across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Florida Panthers logoFlorida Panthers37-38-479-4052.751.952.619.4%80.8%
Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal Canadiens47-22-1079+3148.449.54823.2%78.1%

Betting Considerations

Florida Panthers logoFlorida Panthers(Away)
Lost 4 consecutive games
16-23-1 on the road this season
Averaging 2.4 goals/game last 5 (-19% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.8 goals/game last 5 (+40% vs season avg)
On 5-game road trip
0-1-2 vs Montreal Canadiens this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal Canadiens(Home)
24-14-2 at home this season
Averaging 2.6 goals/game last 5 (-25% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.4 goals/game last 5 (-23% vs season avg)
On 4-game homestand
3-0 vs Florida Panthers this season
1/15 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 23.2% average
Killed 8/8 penalties in last 3 games — above their 78.1% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Sergei Bobrovsky, projected starting goalie for Florida Panthers with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Bobrovsky60%Tandem split (53% start rate), 1 consecutive52.8770.97.763
Jacob Fowler, projected starting goalie for Montreal Canadiens with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Fowler50%Game tomorrow — starter may rest tonight after 2 consecutive starts16.9040.78.824

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 9Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsAwayL 1–5
Apr 7Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensAwayL 3–4 (SO)
Apr 5Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh PenguinsAwayL 2–5
Apr 4Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh PenguinsAwayL 4–9
Apr 2Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsHomeW 2–1
Mar 31Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsHomeW 6–3
Mar 29New York Rangers logoNew York RangersAwayL 1–3
Mar 28New York Islanders logoNew York IslandersAwayL 2–5
Mar 26Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeL 2–3
Mar 24Seattle Kraken logoSeattle KrakenHomeW 5–4 (SO)