CGY

vs

DAL

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Calgary Flames	32-37-9	77	-52	49.1	48.4	47.2	16.4%	79.4%
Dallas Stars	47-20-12	79	+48	47.9	48.5	52.2	28.6%	79.9%

Betting Considerations

Calgary Flames(Away)

11-25-4 on the road this season

Allowing 5.0 goals/game last 5 (+56% vs season avg)

On 6-game road trip

1-1-1 vs Dallas Stars this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Dallas Stars

Lost 5 of last 7 games

Dallas Stars(Home)

25-11-4 at home this season

On 5-game homestand

2-0-1 vs Calgary Flames this season

1/8 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 28.6% average

Allowed 4 PP goals on 9 penalties in last 3 games — below their 79.9% average

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
D. Wolf60%Tandem split (47% start rate), 1 consecutive	54	.895	0.95	.790
J. Oettinger85%Clear #1 (67% start rate), 2 consecutive starts	52	.898	0.84	.796

Last 10 Games

Calgary FlamesDallas Stars

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Apr 9	Colorado Avalanche	Away	L 1–3
Apr 7	Dallas Stars	Away	L 3–4 (OT)
Apr 4	Anaheim Ducks	Away	W 5–3
Apr 2	Vegas Golden Knights	Away	L 3–6
Mar 30	Colorado Avalanche	Away	L 2–9
Mar 28	Vancouver Canucks	Home	W 7–3
Mar 26	Anaheim Ducks	Home	L 2–3 (OT)
Mar 24	Los Angeles Kings	Home	W 3–2 (SO)
Mar 22	Tampa Bay Lightning	Home	W 4–3 (OT)
Mar 20	Florida Panthers	Home	W 4–1