← Back to Games
Buffalo Sabres logoBUF
vs
NYRNew York Rangers logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Buffalo Sabres vs New York Rangers across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres49-23-880+3948.749.249.319.9%81.7%
New York Rangers logoNew York Rangers33-37-979-1348.647.849.125.5%79.7%

Betting Considerations

Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres(Away)
Won 3 consecutive games
23-13-4 on the road this season
2-1 vs New York Rangers this season
0/10 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 19.9% average
Missing Alex Lyon (Out) — 36 GP starter
New York Rangers logoNew York Rangers(Home)
14-20-7 at home this season
Averaging 4.2 goals/game last 5 (+43% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-28% vs season avg)
On 8-game homestand
1-2 vs Buffalo Sabres this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Buffalo Sabres
5/9 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 25.5% average
Killed 11/11 penalties in last 3 games — above their 79.7% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Colten Ellis, projected starting goalie for Buffalo Sabres with 48% confidence based on recent rotation analysisC. Ellis48%Tandem split (13% start rate), 1 consecutive15.9040.82.827
Igor Shesterkin, projected starting goalie for New York Rangers with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisI. Shesterkin85%Clear #1 (73% start rate), 2 consecutive starts50.9110.80.835

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 9Columbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue JacketsHomeW 5–0
Apr 8New York Rangers logoNew York RangersAwayW 5–3
Apr 6Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay LightningHomeW 4–2
Apr 4Washington Capitals logoWashington CapitalsAwayL 2–6
Apr 2Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsAwayL 1–4
Mar 31New York Islanders logoNew York IslandersHomeW 4–3
Mar 28Seattle Kraken logoSeattle KrakenHomeW 3–2 (SO)
Mar 27Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsHomeL 2–5
Mar 25Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsHomeL 3–4 (OT)
Mar 22Anaheim Ducks logoAnaheim DucksAwayL 5–6 (OT)