Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres — April 6, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2 on April 6, 2026. Despite the result, the Tampa Bay Lightning held the edge in expected goals (2.04 to 1.85) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Buffalo Sabres created 7 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5. Jake Guentzel was the most dangerous skater with 0.46 individual expected goals on 4 shots at 5-on-5. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 29-25 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on Apr 6, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL2 - 4BUF

Apr 6, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
BUF	P1	23	10	69.7	16	8	66.7	11	8	57.9	16	7	69.6	8	2	80.0	1.31	0.51	72.1	2	1	66.7
	P2	20	17	54.1	18	14	56.3	14	8	63.6	15	13	53.6	5	2	71.4	1.51	1.15	56.9	1	1	50.0
	P3	10	26	27.8	9	19	32.1	5	9	35.7	4	17	19.0	1	4	20.0	0.47	1.14	29.2	1	0	100.0
	Total	53	53	50.0	43	41	51.2	30	25	54.5	35	37	48.6	14	8	63.6	3.29	2.79	54.1	4	2	66.7
TBL	P1	10	23	30.3	8	16	33.3	8	11	42.1	7	16	30.4	2	8	20.0	0.51	1.31	27.9	1	2	33.3
	P2	17	20	45.9	14	18	43.8	8	14	36.4	13	15	46.4	2	5	28.6	1.15	1.51	43.1	1	1	50.0
	P3	26	10	72.2	19	9	67.9	9	5	64.3	17	4	81.0	4	1	80.0	1.14	0.47	70.8	0	1	0.0
	Total	53	53	50.0	41	43	48.8	25	30	45.5	37	35	51.4	8	14	36.4	2.79	3.29	45.9	2	4	33.3

Win Probability

BUF Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

BUF

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

BUF Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootBUF Shoot

Goal

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Hit

Hit Taken

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = BUF players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

BUF ↓ / TBL →	Guentzel	Goncalves	Point	Gourde	Girgensons	Paul	Kucherov	Bjorkstrand	Perry	Holmberg	Chaffee	Sabourin	Raddysh	McDonagh	Cernak	Moser	Lilleberg	D'Astous
Thompson	85	76	17	88	88	67	17	67	50	75	100	50	50	79	87	67	75	50
Norris	71	71	50	80	67	54	54	60	67	50	100	100	58	83	83	60	58	67
Krebs	50	50	17	83	83	67	17	67	50	75	100	50	50	56	67	57	67	50
McLeod	45	75	25	67	67	20	42	60	60	57	0	0	36	67	33	67	75	63
Dunne	29	—	—	—	—	55	—	20	75	—	75	75	100	67	29	100	33	33
Benson	40	64	43	67	50	47	50	58	60	50	100	100	50	25	33	67	62	67
Zucker	90	86	40	83	80	100	40	100	50	75	0	0	25	100	100	50	71	71
Greenway	17	100	0	—	—	56	38	13	75	—	75	75	38	67	29	100	33	56
Malenstyn	18	—	0	—	—	46	0	17	75	—	75	75	43	57	29	100	33	33
Tuch	50	64	14	71	75	64	46	60	71	50	100	50	46	50	50	67	80	67
Doan	50	57	55	67	0	50	58	60	67	33	100	100	64	33	25	64	58	60
Quinn	82	86	33	83	80	100	33	100	50	75	0	0	20	91	100	50	71	71
Samuelsson	25	52	32	75	67	40	41	38	44	50	50	0	32	14	20	46	55	77
Dahlin	80	69	42	100	100	57	47	57	60	100	—	100	50	80	92	64	63	71
Power	36	67	22	83	86	62	30	50	80	75	0	75	45	83	80	58	55	63
Byram	36	67	29	33	33	53	38	64	100	25	100	100	33	60	40	67	75	60
Schenn	18	100	20	50	50	53	56	29	75	50	80	60	64	50	30	75	33	44
Stanley	33	100	33	50	50	50	40	29	63	50	75	50	67	63	33	75	33	29