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Buffalo Sabres logoBUF
vs
CHIChicago Blackhawks logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres57-27-1182+4348.849.449.319.7%81.0%
Chicago Blackhawks logoChicago Blackhawks29-39-1482-6046.145.643.716.9%83.6%

Betting Considerations

Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres(Away)
8 days rest
33 fewer days rest than opponent
29-14-4 on the road this season
Allowing 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+36% vs season avg)
2-0 vs Chicago Blackhawks this season
Lost 4 of last 7 games
4/9 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 19.7% average
Allowed 4 PP goals on 6 penalties in last 3 games — below their 81.0% average
Chicago Blackhawks logoChicago Blackhawks(Home)
41 days rest
33 more days rest than opponent
14-19-8 at home this season
Allowing 4.4 goals/game last 5 (+31% vs season avg)
On 5-game homestand
0-2 vs Buffalo Sabres this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Buffalo Sabres
Lost 5 of last 7 games
0/10 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 16.9% average
Allowed 2 PP goals on 7 penalties in last 3 games — below their 83.6% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Colten Ellis, projected starting goalie for Buffalo Sabres with 55% confidence based on recent rotation analysisC. Ellis55%Tandem split (20% start rate), 1 consecutive16.9030.84.842
Spencer Knight, projected starting goalie for Chicago Blackhawks with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Knight85%Clear #1 (67% start rate), 2 consecutive starts55.9020.89.847

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
May 18Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeL 2–3 (OT)
May 16Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensAwayW 8–3
May 14Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeL 3–6
May 12Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensAwayW 3–2
May 10Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensAwayL 2–6
May 8Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeL 1–5
May 6Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeW 4–2
May 1Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsAwayW 4–1
Apr 28Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsHomeL 1–2 (OT)
Apr 26Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsAwayW 6–1