Game Recap
After a back-and-forth affair, the Montreal Canadiens pulled out a 3-2 win in overtime on Monday. BUF won't like the result, but they can take something from the 5-on-5 numbers: 4.66 expected goals to MTL's 3.63. BUF generated 19 high-danger looks compared to just 12 from MTL. Shots on goal: BUF 39, MTL 25.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on May 18, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
MTL3 - 2BUF (OT)
May 18, 2026 · Playoffs
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| BUF | P1 | 21 | 17 | 55.3 | 15 | 14 | 51.7 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 10 | 12 | 45.5 | 4 | 4 | 50.0 | 1.04 | 1.30 | 44.4 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 37 | 14 | 72.5 | 25 | 13 | 65.8 | 14 | 7 | 66.7 | 25 | 10 | 71.4 | 10 | 3 | 76.9 | 2.22 | 1.04 | 68.1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 21 | 19 | 52.5 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 10 | 4 | 71.4 | 14 | 15 | 48.3 | 4 | 7 | 36.4 | 0.99 | 1.21 | 45.1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| OT | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 6 | 3 | 66.7 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 51.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 91 | 61 | 59.9 | 64 | 48 | 57.1 | 39 | 25 | 60.9 | 57 | 46 | 55.3 | 19 | 15 | 55.9 | 4.75 | 4.03 | 54.1 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | |
| MTL | P1 | 17 | 21 | 44.7 | 14 | 15 | 48.3 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 12 | 10 | 54.5 | 4 | 4 | 50.0 | 1.30 | 1.04 | 55.6 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 14 | 37 | 27.5 | 13 | 25 | 34.2 | 7 | 14 | 33.3 | 10 | 25 | 28.6 | 3 | 10 | 23.1 | 1.04 | 2.22 | 31.9 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 19 | 21 | 47.5 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 4 | 10 | 28.6 | 15 | 14 | 51.7 | 7 | 4 | 63.6 | 1.21 | 0.99 | 54.9 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| OT | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 3 | 6 | 33.3 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 49.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 61 | 91 | 40.1 | 48 | 64 | 42.9 | 25 | 39 | 39.1 | 46 | 57 | 44.7 | 15 | 19 | 44.1 | 4.03 | 4.75 | 45.9 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | |
Win Probability
BUF Favored
MTL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
BUF
MTL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
MTL Attempts
BUF Attempts
Individual Event Map
MTL ShootBUF Shoot
Goal
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Attempt Blocked
Hit
Hit Taken
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (MTL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = BUF players, Columns = MTL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| BUF ↓ / MTL → | Suzuki | Danault | Evans | Newhook | Dach | Kapanen | Texier | Slafkovský | Anderson | Demidov | Caufield | Bolduc | Hutson | Matheson | Carrier | Dobson | Guhle | Xhekaj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson | 59 | 78 | 50 | 22 | 88 | 100 | 56 | 50 | 77 | 11 | 45 | 83 | 50 | 61 | 63 | 57 | 53 | — |
| Norris | 63 | 82 | 38 | 0 | 88 | 100 | 63 | 57 | 83 | 0 | 54 | 83 | 58 | 57 | 59 | 67 | 53 | — |
| McLeod | 64 | 91 | 92 | 78 | 63 | 40 | 93 | 71 | 83 | 100 | 63 | 67 | 79 | 77 | 86 | 55 | 79 | 100 |
| Helenius | 59 | 40 | 33 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 29 | 54 | 67 | 29 | 67 | 48 | 64 | 63 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| Krebs | 75 | 57 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 50 | 25 | 67 | 40 | 60 | 50 | 57 | 45 | 67 | 57 | 69 | 55 | 0 |
| Benson | 63 | 78 | 50 | 22 | 88 | 100 | 56 | 57 | 77 | 11 | 54 | 83 | 58 | 61 | 63 | 63 | 53 | — |
| Zucker | 56 | 45 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 29 | 57 | 67 | 25 | 67 | 45 | 63 | 55 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| Greenway | 50 | 63 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 36 | 29 | 60 | 77 | 60 | 0 |
| Malenstyn | 75 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 67 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 57 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 82 | 60 | 0 |
| Tuch | 50 | 89 | 86 | 78 | 45 | 40 | 92 | 59 | 80 | 92 | 55 | 50 | 63 | 73 | 92 | 54 | 71 | 100 |
| Doan | 78 | 89 | 100 | 89 | 63 | 40 | 92 | 83 | 75 | 100 | 83 | 67 | 83 | 94 | 100 | 56 | 73 | 100 |
| Quinn | 58 | 50 | 67 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 56 | 53 | 67 | 38 | 67 | 52 | 69 | 64 | 40 | 50 | 0 |
| Dahlin | 69 | 71 | 69 | 54 | 67 | — | 65 | 68 | 74 | 50 | 60 | 83 | 62 | 68 | 68 | 65 | 62 | — |
| Samuelsson | 68 | 90 | 56 | 47 | 64 | 60 | 88 | 68 | 86 | 50 | 56 | 62 | 70 | 67 | 70 | 80 | 65 | 0 |
| Byram | 59 | 65 | 65 | 47 | 44 | 20 | 61 | 40 | 68 | 62 | 50 | 44 | 52 | 65 | 67 | 48 | 58 | 0 |
| Power | 66 | 56 | 100 | 100 | 91 | 75 | 56 | 44 | 46 | 93 | 50 | 89 | 62 | 81 | 86 | 55 | 71 | 50 |
| Timmins | 8 | 70 | 20 | 17 | 42 | 63 | 70 | 42 | 50 | 14 | 13 | 45 | 36 | 30 | 50 | 50 | 47 | 25 |
| Metsa | 50 | 25 | — | — | 33 | 20 | 25 | 0 | 25 | — | 0 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
