Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild

2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs · Second Round

Colorado Avalanche logo
Colorado Avalanche
Higher seed · Western Conference
20
Best of 7 · Game 3 next
Minnesota Wild
Lower seed · Western Conference
Minnesota Wild logo
Next game: Saturday, May 9

Series Prediction

Updated after Game 2 · methodology
COL 83%
17% MIN
Most likely outcome: COL in 5 (28% of simulations)
Pre-series: COL 55% · MIN 45% → Now: COL 83% · MIN 17% (+28 for COL)
COL leads 2-0. Teams up 2-0 historically win the series 84% of the time.
How we calculated this
Elo rating1580 vs 1518 (+62)+2.5% COL
Goaltending (season starter)GSAx/60: 0.93 vs 0.88neutral
Power play (season)PP xGF/GP: 1.59 vs 1.81+1.8% MIN
Penalty kill (season)PK GA/GP: 0.46 vs 0.59 (lower better)+0.7% COL
Home iceMIN hosts+4.0% MIN

Win probability is computed via Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 runs) over the remaining games, using per-game win probabilities that combine these factors with home-ice advantage.

Game-by-Game Results

Game 1
Sun, May 3
COL 9
(H)
MIN 6
Recap →
Game 2
Tue, May 5
COL 5
(H)
MIN 2
Recap →
Game 3
Sat, May 9
COL
(A)
MIN
Upcoming
Game 4
Mon, May 11
COL
(A)
MIN
Upcoming
Game 5
Wed, May 13
COL
(H)
MIN
Upcoming
Game 6
Fri, May 15
COL
(A)
MIN
Upcoming
Game 7
Sun, May 17
COL
(H)
MIN
Upcoming

Series Stats at 5-on-5

9
Goals
7
5.52
Expected Goals
5.44
96
Shot Attempts (Corsi)
95
52
Shots on Goal
49
16
High-Danger Chances
18

Goaltender Stats

Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche
GoalieGPGAASV%SA
Scott Wedgewood21.380.88167
Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota Wild
GoalieGPGAASV%SA
Jesper Wallstedt14.930.81042
Filip Gustavsson11.610.81822

About this Second Round Series

The Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild meet in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs Second Round. The Colorado Avalanche enter as the higher seed and host Games 1, 2, 5, and 7 (if necessary). First team to 4 wins advances.

Through 2 games, the series stands at COL 2, MIN 0. All stats on this page aggregate across every game played in the series so far.