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Vegas Golden Knights logoVGK
vs
COLColorado Avalanche logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights36-26-1778+1452.152.754.724.7%81.6%
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche52-16-1078+985655.455.317.7%84.3%

Betting Considerations

Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights(Away)
18-14-8 on the road this season
Averaging 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+25% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-29% vs season avg)
On 4-game road trip
0-1-1 vs Colorado Avalanche this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Colorado Avalanche
2/4 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 24.7% average
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche(Home)
25-9-5 at home this season
2-0 vs Vegas Golden Knights this season
Killed 9/9 penalties in last 3 games — above their 84.3% average
Strong PK (84.3%) should limit Vegas Golden Knights's PP (24.7%)

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Adin Hill, projected starting goalie for Vegas Golden Knights with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisA. Hill85%Clear #1 (67% start rate), 1 consecutive start26.8730.95.709
Mackenzie Blackwood, projected starting goalie for Colorado Avalanche with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisM. Blackwood60%Tandem split (60% start rate), 1 consecutive36.9020.84.819

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 9Seattle Kraken logoSeattle KrakenAwayL 3–4 (SO)
Apr 7Vancouver Canucks logoVancouver CanucksAwayW 2–1
Apr 4Edmonton Oilers logoEdmonton OilersAwayW 5–1
Apr 2Calgary Flames logoCalgary FlamesHomeW 6–3
Mar 30Vancouver Canucks logoVancouver CanucksHomeW 4–2
Mar 28Washington Capitals logoWashington CapitalsHomeL 4–5 (SO)
Mar 26Edmonton Oilers logoEdmonton OilersHomeL 3–4 (OT)
Mar 24Winnipeg Jets logoWinnipeg JetsAwayL 1–4
Mar 22Dallas Stars logoDallas StarsAwayW 3–2
Mar 21Nashville Predators logoNashville PredatorsAwayL 1–4