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Vegas Golden Knights logoVGK
vs
COLColorado Avalanche logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights53-33-1881+2252.452.954.823.7%81.5%
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche63-21-1182+1015655.555.417.5%83.9%

Betting Considerations

Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights(Away)
26 days rest
19 fewer days rest than opponent
Lost 3 consecutive games
26-17-9 on the road this season
Averaging 2.6 goals/game last 5 (-21% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+33% vs season avg)
5-1-1 vs Colorado Avalanche this season
1/9 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 23.7% average
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche(Home)
45 days rest
19 more days rest than opponent
Lost 4 consecutive games
31-11-6 at home this season
Averaging 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-40% vs season avg)
Allowing 3.4 goals/game last 5 (+35% vs season avg)
2-4-1 vs Vegas Golden Knights this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Vegas Golden Knights
0/7 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 17.5% average
Strong PK (83.9%) should limit Vegas Golden Knights's PP (23.7%)

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Adin Hill, projected starting goalie for Vegas Golden Knights with 65% confidence based on recent rotation analysisA. Hill65%Rotation likely — 3 consecutive (avg streak 3.0)26.8730.95.709
Scott Wedgewood, projected starting goalie for Colorado Avalanche with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Wedgewood60%Tandem split (40% start rate), 1 consecutive45.9210.73.782

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Jun 14Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesHomeL 0–3
Jun 11Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesAwayL 2–4
Jun 9Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesHomeL 3–5
Jun 6Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesHomeW 5–4 (SO)
Jun 4Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesAwayL 3–4 (OT)
Jun 2Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesAwayW 5–4
May 26Colorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheHomeW 2–1
May 24Colorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheHomeW 5–3
May 22Colorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheAwayW 3–1
May 20Colorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheAwayW 4–2