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New York Rangers logoNYR
vs
WSHWashington Capitals logo
2026–27 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
New York Rangers logoNew York Rangers4-1-05+847.548.649.721.4%87.5%
Washington Capitals logoWashington Capitals2-1-03+345.245.645.425.0%91.7%

Betting Considerations

New York Rangers logoNew York Rangers(Away)
Won 4 consecutive games
Allowed 2 PP goals on 8 penalties in last 3 games — below their 87.5% average
Strong PK (87.5%) should limit Washington Capitals's PP (25.0%)
Washington Capitals logoWashington Capitals(Home)
No notable factors

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Igor Shesterkin, projected starting goalie for New York Rangers with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisI. Shesterkin85%Clear #1 (80% start rate), 2 consecutive starts4.9270.54.909
Logan Thompson, projected starting goalie for Washington Capitals with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisL. Thompson50%Clear #1 (67% start rate), 1 consecutive start2.9210.63.700

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Oct 6New York Islanders logoNew York IslandersHomeW 5–2
Oct 4Utah Mammoth logoUtah MammothHomeW 4–2
Oct 2Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsAwayW 2–0
Oct 1Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay LightningHomeW 5–1
Sep 29Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsAwayL 0–3