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Colorado Avalanche logoCOL
vs
VGKVegas Golden Knights logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche63-20-1182+1015655.555.417.6%83.8%
Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights50-30-1781+2252.452.954.824.6%82.5%

Betting Considerations

Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche(Away)
Lost 3 consecutive games
32-9-5 on the road this season
Averaging 3.0 goals/game last 5 (-18% vs season avg)
Allowing 3.4 goals/game last 5 (+34% vs season avg)
2-3-1 vs Vegas Golden Knights this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Vegas Golden Knights
Strong PK (83.8%) should limit Vegas Golden Knights's PP (24.6%)
Missing Nathan MacKinnon (DTD) — 0.94 PPG
Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden Knights(Home)
Won 5 consecutive games
25-14-9 at home this season
Averaging 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+21% vs season avg)
Allowing 1.8 goals/game last 5 (-39% vs season avg)
4-1-1 vs Colorado Avalanche this season

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Scott Wedgewood, projected starting goalie for Colorado Avalanche with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Wedgewood60%Tandem split (40% start rate), 1 consecutive45.9210.73.782
Adin Hill, projected starting goalie for Vegas Golden Knights with 65% confidence based on recent rotation analysisA. Hill65%Rotation likely — 3 consecutive (avg streak 3.0)26.8730.95.709

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
May 24Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayL 3–5
May 22Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsHomeL 1–3
May 20Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsHomeL 2–4
May 13Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 4–3 (OT)
May 11Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildAwayW 5–2
May 9Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildAwayL 1–5
May 5Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 5–2
May 3Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 9–6
Apr 26Los Angeles Kings logoLos Angeles KingsAwayW 5–1
Apr 23Los Angeles Kings logoLos Angeles KingsAwayW 4–2