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COLvs
Colorado Avalanche(Away)
Edmonton Oilers(Home)
COLEDM
2025–26 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Colorado Avalanche vs Edmonton Oilers across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 63-20-11 | 82 | +101 | 56 | 55.5 | 55.4 | 17.6% | 83.8% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 43-33-12 | 82 | +17 | 50.4 | 51.2 | 51.6 | 30.5% | 75.9% |
Betting Considerations
Colorado Avalanche(Away)24 fewer days rest than opponent
Lost 3 consecutive games
32-9-5 on the road this season
Averaging 3.0 goals/game last 5 (-18% vs season avg)
Allowing 3.4 goals/game last 5 (+34% vs season avg)
2-1 vs Edmonton Oilers this season
Strong PK (83.8%) should limit Edmonton Oilers's PP (30.5%)
Missing Nathan MacKinnon (DTD) — 0.94 PPG
Edmonton Oilers(Home)26 days rest
24 more days rest than opponent
24-15-5 at home this season
Allowing 4.6 goals/game last 5 (+37% vs season avg)
1-1-1 vs Colorado Avalanche this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Colorado Avalanche
Lost 4 of last 7 games
3/6 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 30.5% average
Allowed 4 PP goals on 8 penalties in last 3 games — below their 75.9% average
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 S. Wedgewood60%Tandem split (40% start rate), 1 consecutive | 45 | .921 | 0.73 | .782 |
 T. Jarry55%Rotation likely — 4 consecutive (avg streak 3.0) | 19 | .858 | 1.15 | .794 |
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24 |  Vegas Golden Knights | Away | L 3–5 |
| May 22 | Vegas Golden Knights | Home | L 1–3 |
| May 20 | Vegas Golden Knights | Home | L 2–4 |
| May 13 |  Minnesota Wild | Home | W 4–3 (OT) |
| May 11 | Minnesota Wild | Away | W 5–2 |
| May 9 | Minnesota Wild | Away | L 1–5 |
| May 5 | Minnesota Wild | Home | W 5–2 |
| May 3 | Minnesota Wild | Home | W 9–6 |
| Apr 26 |  Los Angeles Kings | Away | W 5–1 |
| Apr 23 | Los Angeles Kings | Away | W 4–2 |