Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Matchup — NHL Head-to-Head Stats & Betting Insights | LivingHockey

COL

DAL

2026–27 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Colorado Avalanche	4-2-0	6	+10	53.1	53.9	54.7	23.8%	80.0%
Dallas Stars	2-3-1	6	+3	52	52.7	53.6	14.3%	85.0%

Betting Considerations

Colorado Avalanche(Away)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

1-0 vs Dallas Stars this season

1/11 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 23.8% average

Allowed 3 PP goals on 7 penalties in last 3 games — below their 80.0% average

Missing Cale Makar (DTD) — 1.20 PPG

Dallas Stars(Home)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

Averaging 2.6 goals/game last 5 (+20% vs season avg)

Allowing 1.4 goals/game last 5 (-24% vs season avg)

0-1 vs Colorado Avalanche this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Colorado Avalanche

Lost 4 of last 6 games

2/6 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 14.3% average

Strong PK (85.0%) should limit Colorado Avalanche's PP (23.8%)

Missing Wyatt Johnston (Out) — 0.60 PPG

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
S. Wedgewood75%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected	1	.897	0.75	.800
C. DeSmith75%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected	1	.923	1.03	.889

Last 10 Games

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Oct 13	Dallas Stars	Away	W 3–2
Oct 10	Toronto Maple Leafs	Home	L 3–6
Oct 8	Calgary Flames	Away	W 7–3
Oct 7	Winnipeg Jets	Away	L 2–3
Oct 3	St. Louis Blues	Home	W 6–1
Sep 30	Los Angeles Kings	Home	W 8–4