Game Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs prevailed 6-3 in a high-scoring affair against the Colorado Avalanche on October 10, 2026. Jack Roslovic generated the most offense at even strength with 0.78 ixG on 4 shots. Nylander put up 2 goals. Auston Matthews found the net 2 times. Nathan MacKinnon had a 2-goal game. COL won't like the result, but they can take something from the 5-on-5 numbers: 2.76 expected goals to TOR's 2.00. COL had a big edge in high-danger chances, 12-7 over TOR at 5-on-5. COL outshot TOR 33-22.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche progressed on Oct 10, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
TOR6 - 3COL
Oct 10, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| COL | P1 | 23 | 18 | 56.1 | 17 | 12 | 58.6 | 11 | 8 | 57.9 | 18 | 12 | 60.0 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 1.17 | 1.08 | 51.9 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 |
| P2 | 34 | 9 | 79.1 | 18 | 8 | 69.2 | 13 | 4 | 76.5 | 31 | 8 | 79.5 | 11 | 2 | 84.6 | 1.66 | 0.73 | 69.5 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | |
| P3 | 21 | 16 | 56.8 | 17 | 13 | 56.7 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 16 | 8 | 66.7 | 7 | 4 | 63.6 | 1.50 | 1.04 | 59.1 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 78 | 43 | 64.5 | 52 | 33 | 61.2 | 33 | 23 | 58.9 | 65 | 28 | 69.9 | 20 | 10 | 66.7 | 4.33 | 2.85 | 60.3 | 3 | 6 | 33.3 | |
| TOR | P1 | 18 | 23 | 43.9 | 12 | 17 | 41.4 | 8 | 11 | 42.1 | 12 | 18 | 40.0 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 1.08 | 1.17 | 48.1 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 |
| P2 | 9 | 34 | 20.9 | 8 | 18 | 30.8 | 4 | 13 | 23.5 | 8 | 31 | 20.5 | 2 | 11 | 15.4 | 0.73 | 1.66 | 30.5 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | |
| P3 | 16 | 21 | 43.2 | 13 | 17 | 43.3 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 8 | 16 | 33.3 | 4 | 7 | 36.4 | 1.04 | 1.50 | 40.9 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 43 | 78 | 35.5 | 33 | 52 | 38.8 | 23 | 33 | 41.1 | 28 | 65 | 30.1 | 10 | 20 | 33.3 | 2.85 | 4.33 | 39.7 | 6 | 3 | 66.7 | |
Win Probability
COL Favored
TOR Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
COL
TOR
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
TOR Attempts
COL Attempts
Individual Event Map
TOR ShootCOL Shoot
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Hit
Hit Taken
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (COL) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = COL players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the COL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| COL ↓ / TOR → | Matthews | Sissons | Roslovic | Blueger | Groulx | McKenna | Paul | Duhaime | Nylander | Marchenko | Cowan | McCabe | Raddysh | Stecher | Rielly | Blankenburg | Ekman-Larsson | Tanev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necas | 53 | 85 | 69 | 83 | 75 | 43 | 85 | 75 | 56 | 64 | 88 | 77 | 64 | 76 | 71 | 67 | 63 | 100 |
| MacKinnon | 53 | 83 | 69 | 83 | 67 | 33 | 85 | 75 | 56 | 64 | 88 | 77 | 64 | 75 | 71 | 67 | 57 | 100 |
| Kadri | 30 | 71 | 55 | 80 | 50 | 29 | 90 | 100 | 44 | 40 | 70 | 87 | 80 | 64 | 38 | 55 | 67 | 50 |
| Nelson | 33 | 64 | 50 | 0 | 75 | 33 | 80 | 100 | 44 | 50 | 75 | 67 | 60 | 43 | 56 | 67 | 70 | 50 |
| Kelly | 33 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 67 | 64 | 58 | — | 71 | 13 | 50 | 82 | 83 | 0 | 63 | 50 | 0 | — |
| Roy | 30 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 80 | 58 | 60 | — | 69 | 0 | 44 | 82 | 83 | 0 | 57 | 38 | 0 | — |
| Svechkov | 50 | 67 | 0 | 71 | 57 | 67 | 63 | 75 | 60 | 67 | 80 | 63 | 56 | 57 | 50 | 100 | 71 | — |
| Lehkonen | 53 | 80 | 67 | 50 | 75 | 43 | 67 | 67 | 56 | 62 | 86 | 65 | 44 | 69 | 71 | 67 | 67 | 100 |
| Landeskog | 30 | 60 | 50 | 0 | 75 | 29 | 80 | 100 | 44 | 50 | 63 | 60 | 50 | 43 | 50 | 62 | 70 | 50 |
| L'Heureux | 43 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 80 | 70 | 63 | 100 | 89 | 20 | 63 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 83 | 57 | 0 | — |
| Schwartz | 67 | 67 | 0 | 75 | 60 | 60 | 80 | 80 | 67 | 83 | 80 | 60 | 50 | 80 | 80 | 100 | 83 | — |
| Hughes | 67 | 83 | 0 | 88 | 63 | 60 | 86 | 83 | 50 | 75 | 80 | 86 | 73 | 78 | 67 | 100 | 80 | — |
| Makar | 36 | 90 | 44 | 78 | 100 | 67 | 94 | 100 | 79 | 36 | 83 | 78 | 74 | 83 | 60 | 67 | 80 | — |
| Malinski | 56 | 50 | 54 | 83 | 50 | 63 | 57 | 100 | 36 | 64 | 73 | 80 | 75 | 11 | 69 | 77 | 33 | 80 |
| Kulak | 50 | 50 | 50 | 83 | 43 | 50 | 43 | 100 | 45 | 58 | 80 | 83 | 78 | 9 | 69 | 73 | 17 | 80 |
| Toews | 33 | 86 | 40 | 60 | 100 | 50 | 90 | 100 | 79 | 36 | 83 | 67 | 64 | 78 | 57 | 57 | 83 | — |
| Manson | 40 | 56 | 60 | 50 | 57 | 33 | 56 | 50 | 63 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 40 | 64 | 50 | 50 | 64 | — |
| Burns | 36 | 57 | 56 | 50 | 67 | 45 | 55 | 50 | 44 | 71 | 58 | 56 | 44 | 54 | 43 | 55 | 60 | — |
