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Colorado Avalanche logoCOL
vs
CGYCalgary Flames logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche63-21-1182+1015655.555.417.5%83.9%
Calgary Flames logoCalgary Flames34-39-981-5248.948.347.116.2%80.4%

Betting Considerations

Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche(Away)
45 days rest
40 fewer days rest than opponent
Lost 4 consecutive games
32-10-5 on the road this season
Averaging 2.2 goals/game last 5 (-40% vs season avg)
Allowing 3.4 goals/game last 5 (+35% vs season avg)
3-0 vs Calgary Flames this season
0/7 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 17.5% average
Calgary Flames logoCalgary Flames(Home)
85 days rest
40 more days rest than opponent
23-13-5 at home this season
Averaging 2.0 goals/game last 5 (-23% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.4 goals/game last 5 (-24% vs season avg)
On 4-game homestand
0-3 vs Colorado Avalanche this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Colorado Avalanche
Lost 4 of last 7 games
Killed 9/9 penalties in last 3 games — above their 80.4% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Scott Wedgewood, projected starting goalie for Colorado Avalanche with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Wedgewood60%Tandem split (40% start rate), 1 consecutive45.9210.73.782
Arsenii Sergeev, projected starting goalie for Calgary Flames with 42% confidence based on recent rotation analysisA. Sergeev42%Tandem split (7% start rate), 1 consecutive1.9640.50.800

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
May 26Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayL 1–2
May 24Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayL 3–5
May 22Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsHomeL 1–3
May 20Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsHomeL 2–4
May 13Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 4–3 (OT)
May 11Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildAwayW 5–2
May 9Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildAwayL 1–5
May 5Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 5–2
May 3Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 9–6
Apr 26Los Angeles Kings logoLos Angeles KingsAwayW 5–1