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Calgary Flames logoCGY
vs
COLColorado Avalanche logo
2026–27 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Calgary Flames logoCalgary Flames6-8-014-1650.148.445.833.3%81.8%
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche8-5-114+1652.452.852.420.5%76.9%

Betting Considerations

Calgary Flames logoCalgary Flames(Away)
Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
1-5-0 on the road this season
Averaging 3.4 goals/game last 5 (+32% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.8 goals/game last 5 (-25% vs season avg)
0-2 vs Colorado Avalanche this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Colorado Avalanche
2/3 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 33.3% average
Allowed 3 PP goals on 9 penalties in last 3 games — below their 81.8% average
PP (33.3%) has an edge vs Colorado Avalanche's PK (76.9%)
Colorado Avalanche logoColorado Avalanche(Home)
Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
6-1-1 at home this season
2-0 vs Calgary Flames this season
Allowed 4 PP goals on 10 penalties in last 3 games — below their 76.9% average
PK (76.9%) vulnerable against Calgary Flames's PP (33.3%)

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Dustin Wolf, projected starting goalie for Calgary Flames with 80% confidence based on recent rotation analysisD. Wolf80%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected7.8471.63.718
Scott Wedgewood, projected starting goalie for Colorado Avalanche with 75% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Wedgewood75%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected4.8890.99.790

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Oct 31Colorado Avalanche logoColorado AvalancheAwayL 2–5
Oct 30Seattle Kraken logoSeattle KrakenHomeW 6–2
Oct 28Edmonton Oilers logoEdmonton OilersAwayL 0–4
Oct 26Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsHomeW 5–2
Oct 24Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsHomeW 4–1
Oct 22Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 2–1
Oct 18Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesHomeW 3–2
Oct 15Vegas Golden Knights logoVegas Golden KnightsAwayL 2–6
Oct 13Anaheim Ducks logoAnaheim DucksAwayW 4–2
Oct 10Anaheim Ducks logoAnaheim DucksHomeL 2–4