NHL Power Rankings — Week 12 (Dec 29 – Jan 4, 2025)

All 32 NHL teams ranked by Elo rating with 7-day performance, expected goals share (xGF%), Corsi possession (CF%), and analytics-driven commentary.

1. 1
   

   Colorado Avalanche

   (28-2-7)

   Elo: 1582+2 this week7-day: 2-0-0xGF% 55.1CF% 60.6

   The Colorado Avalanche remain firmly entrenched at No. 1, maintaining their position among the league's elite. They had a perfect 2-0-0 week, outscoring opponents 7-5 across 2 games. Their 55.1% expected goals share at 5-on-5 demonstrates strong territorial control, generating more quality scoring opportunities than opponents. They dominated shot attempts with 60.6% Corsi, controlling the pace of play. Season record: 28-2-7 (63 pts).

   —
2. 2
   

   Dallas Stars

   (25-7-7)

   Elo: 1563-2 this week7-day: 0-0-2xGF% 61.0CF% 53.4

   The Dallas Stars remain firmly entrenched at No. 2, maintaining their position among the league's elite. They went winless at 0-0-2, being outscored 8-6 in 2 games. At 5-on-5, they dominated possession with a remarkable 61.0% expected goals share — the kind of performance that signals a team firing on all cylinders and creating far more scoring chances than they allow. Despite the underlying metrics, their actual goal share lagged behind expectations — a sign of bad puck luck or poor finishing that could correct itself. Season record: 25-7-7 (57 pts).

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3. 3
   

   Vegas Golden Knights

   (17-8-11)

   Elo: 1540+1 this week7-day: 1-0-1xGF% 47.2CF% 36.6

   The Vegas Golden Knights climbed 1 spot to No. 3. They posted a 1-0-1 record this week, outscoring opponents 12-8. Their 47.2% xGF at 5-on-5 was slightly below average, indicating room for improvement in generating quality chances. A 36.6% Corsi indicates they were consistently outshot and spent too much time in the defensive zone. Season record: 17-8-11 (45 pts).

   ▲ 1
4. 4
   

   Tampa Bay Lightning

   (22-13-3)

   Elo: 1537+3 this week7-day: 3-0-0xGF% 48.9CF% 42.3

   The Tampa Bay Lightning climbed 2 spots to No. 4. They had a perfect 3-0-0 week, outscoring opponents 13-7 across 3 games. They scored at a rate well above their expected goals, suggesting favorable bounces or clutch finishing that may not be sustainable. A 42.3% Corsi indicates they were consistently outshot and spent too much time in the defensive zone. Season record: 22-13-3 (47 pts).

   ▲ 2
5. 5
   

   Washington Capitals

   (20-13-5)

   Elo: 1536-3 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 49.4CF% 48.6

   The Washington Capitals slipped 2 spots to No. 5. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, being outscored by opponents 10-7. Season record: 20-13-5 (45 pts).

   ▼ 2
6. 6
   

   Carolina Hurricanes

   (23-11-3)

   Elo: 1535-1 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 59.8CF% 60.2

   The Carolina Hurricanes slipped 1 spot to No. 6. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week. At 5-on-5, they dominated possession with a remarkable 59.8% expected goals share — the kind of performance that signals a team firing on all cylinders and creating far more scoring chances than they allow. They dominated shot attempts with 60.2% Corsi, controlling the pace of play. Season record: 23-11-3 (49 pts).

   ▼ 1
7. 7
   

   Winnipeg Jets

   (15-17-4)

   Elo: 1524-1 this week7-day: 0-0-1xGF% 41.5CF% 54.5

   The Winnipeg Jets climbed 1 spot to No. 7. They went winless at 0-0-1, being outscored 4-3 in 1 game. Their 41.5% expected goals share at 5-on-5 is a major red flag — they were thoroughly outchanced at even strength, and if the results don't match, regression is likely coming. Season record: 15-17-4 (34 pts).

   ▲ 1
8. 8
   

   Los Angeles Kings

   (16-12-9)

   Elo: 1522-1 this week7-day: 1-2-0xGF% 60.2CF% 57.7

   The Los Angeles Kings slipped 1 spot to No. 8. They posted a 1-2-0 record this week, outscoring opponents 9-7. At 5-on-5, they dominated possession with a remarkable 60.2% expected goals share — the kind of performance that signals a team firing on all cylinders and creating far more scoring chances than they allow. They dominated shot attempts with 57.7% Corsi, controlling the pace of play. Season record: 16-12-9 (41 pts).

   ▼ 1
9. 9
   

   Florida Panthers

   (20-15-2)

   Elo: 1520+0 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 55.0CF% 50.6

   The Florida Panthers hold steady at No. 9. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, outscoring opponents 7-6. Their 55.0% expected goals share at 5-on-5 demonstrates strong territorial control, generating more quality scoring opportunities than opponents. Season record: 20-15-2 (42 pts).

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10. 10
    

    Edmonton Oilers

    (19-14-6)

    Elo: 15200 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 56.3CF% 55.4

    The Edmonton Oilers hold steady at No. 10. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, outscoring opponents 7-4. Their 56.3% expected goals share at 5-on-5 demonstrates strong territorial control, generating more quality scoring opportunities than opponents. Season record: 19-14-6 (44 pts).

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11. 11
    

    Minnesota Wild

    (23-10-6)

    Elo: 15190 this week7-day: 1-0-1xGF% 59.1CF% 50.6

    The Minnesota Wild hold steady at No. 11. They posted a 1-0-1 record this week. At 5-on-5, they dominated possession with a remarkable 59.1% expected goals share — the kind of performance that signals a team firing on all cylinders and creating far more scoring chances than they allow. Season record: 23-10-6 (52 pts).

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12. 12
    

    Toronto Maple Leafs

    (17-15-6)

    Elo: 1518+5 this week7-day: 2-0-1xGF% 46.1CF% 45.0

    The Toronto Maple Leafs hold steady at No. 12. They posted a 2-0-1 record this week, outscoring opponents 15-11. Their 46.1% xGF at 5-on-5 was slightly below average, indicating room for improvement in generating quality chances. Season record: 17-15-6 (40 pts).

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13. 13
    

    St. Louis Blues

    (15-16-8)

    Elo: 1500+3 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 49.8CF% 45.0

    The St. Louis Blues climbed 2 spots to No. 13. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, being outscored by opponents 6-4. Season record: 15-16-8 (38 pts).

    ▲ 2
14. 14
    

    Detroit Red Wings

    (23-14-3)

    Elo: 1500-2 this week7-day: 2-1-0xGF% 37.7CF% 43.7

    The Detroit Red Wings hold steady at No. 14. They posted a 2-1-0 record this week, being outscored by opponents 10-9. Their 37.7% expected goals share at 5-on-5 is a major red flag — they were thoroughly outchanced at even strength, and if the results don't match, regression is likely coming. A 43.7% Corsi indicates they were consistently outshot and spent too much time in the defensive zone. Season record: 23-14-3 (49 pts).

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15. 15
    

    Ottawa Senators

    (18-14-5)

    Elo: 1499-3 this week7-day: 0-1-1xGF% 60.3CF% 58.4

    The Ottawa Senators slipped 2 spots to No. 15. They went winless at 0-1-1, being outscored 10-7 in 2 games. At 5-on-5, they dominated possession with a remarkable 60.3% expected goals share — the kind of performance that signals a team firing on all cylinders and creating far more scoring chances than they allow. Despite the underlying metrics, their actual goal share lagged behind expectations — a sign of bad puck luck or poor finishing that could correct itself. They dominated shot attempts with 58.4% Corsi, controlling the pace of play. Season record: 18-14-5 (41 pts).

    ▼ 2
16. 16
    

    Montreal Canadiens

    (20-12-6)

    Elo: 1497+3 this week7-day: 1-0-1xGF% 56.2CF% 61.2

    The Montreal Canadiens climbed 2 spots to No. 16. They posted a 1-0-1 record this week, outscoring opponents 10-7. Their 56.2% expected goals share at 5-on-5 demonstrates strong territorial control, generating more quality scoring opportunities than opponents. They dominated shot attempts with 61.2% Corsi, controlling the pace of play. Season record: 20-12-6 (46 pts).

    ▲ 2
17. 17
    

    New York Islanders

    (21-14-4)

    Elo: 1497+2 this week7-day: 2-1-0xGF% 44.1CF% 48.4

    The New York Islanders hold steady at No. 17. They posted a 2-1-0 record this week, outscoring opponents 6-5. A 44.1% xGF at 5-on-5 suggests they were outplayed at even strength, relying on special teams or goaltending to stay competitive. Season record: 21-14-4 (46 pts).

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18. 18
    

    New York Rangers

    (19-17-4)

    Elo: 1496+1 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 48.0CF% 50.0

    The New York Rangers slipped 2 spots to No. 18. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, outscoring opponents 7-5. Season record: 19-17-4 (42 pts).

    ▼ 2
19. 19
    

    Calgary Flames

    (16-18-4)

    Elo: 1492+1 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 43.7CF% 44.6

    The Calgary Flames hold steady at No. 19. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, being outscored by opponents 7-4. A 43.7% xGF at 5-on-5 suggests they were outplayed at even strength, relying on special teams or goaltending to stay competitive. Season record: 16-18-4 (36 pts).

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20. 20
    

    Buffalo Sabres

    (19-14-4)

    Elo: 1489+3 this week7-day: 2-0-0xGF% 48.4CF% 46.2

    The Buffalo Sabres surged 4 spots to No. 20, up from No. 24 last week. They had a perfect 2-0-0 week, outscoring opponents 7-3 across 2 games. They scored at a rate well above their expected goals, suggesting favorable bounces or clutch finishing that may not be sustainable. Season record: 19-14-4 (42 pts).

    ▲ 4
21. 21
    

    New Jersey Devils

    (20-16-2)

    Elo: 1488-3 this week7-day: 0-1-1xGF% 53.8CF% 51.5

    The New Jersey Devils slipped 1 spot to No. 21. They went winless at 0-1-1, being outscored 6-4 in 2 games. A 53.8% xGF at 5-on-5 reflects solid underlying play on both sides of the puck. Season record: 20-16-2 (42 pts).

    ▼ 1
22. 22
    

    Utah Mammoth

    (18-18-3)

    Elo: 1488-2 this week7-day: 0-1-0xGF% 50.0CF% 51.6

    The Utah Mammoth slipped 1 spot to No. 22. They went winless at 0-1-0, being outscored 1-0 in 1 game. Season record: 18-18-3 (39 pts).

    ▼ 1
23. 23
    

    Pittsburgh Penguins

    (16-12-9)

    Elo: 1486+0 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 43.7CF% 45.7

    The Pittsburgh Penguins hold steady at No. 23. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, outscoring opponents 10-9. A 43.7% xGF at 5-on-5 suggests they were outplayed at even strength, relying on special teams or goaltending to stay competitive. Season record: 16-12-9 (41 pts).

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24. 24
    

    Vancouver Canucks

    (15-19-3)

    Elo: 1482-4 this week7-day: 0-2-0xGF% 37.7CF% 45.1

    The Vancouver Canucks slipped 2 spots to No. 24. They went winless at 0-2-0, being outscored 11-5 in 2 games. Their 37.7% expected goals share at 5-on-5 is a major red flag — they were thoroughly outchanced at even strength, and if the results don't match, regression is likely coming. Season record: 15-19-3 (33 pts).

    ▼ 2
25. 25
    

    Boston Bruins

    (20-18-1)

    Elo: 1480-6 this week7-day: 0-2-0xGF% 39.1CF% 43.4

    The Boston Bruins hold steady at No. 25. They went winless at 0-2-0, being outscored 10-3 in 2 games. Their 39.1% expected goals share at 5-on-5 is a major red flag — they were thoroughly outchanced at even strength, and if the results don't match, regression is likely coming. Despite the underlying metrics, their actual goal share lagged behind expectations — a sign of bad puck luck or poor finishing that could correct itself. A 43.4% Corsi indicates they were consistently outshot and spent too much time in the defensive zone. Season record: 20-18-1 (41 pts).

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26. 26
    

    Philadelphia Flyers

    (19-11-7)

    Elo: 1478+0 this week7-day: 2-1-0xGF% 65.3CF% 54.0

    The Philadelphia Flyers hold steady at No. 26. They posted a 2-1-0 record this week, outscoring opponents 9-7. At 5-on-5, they dominated possession with a remarkable 65.3% expected goals share — the kind of performance that signals a team firing on all cylinders and creating far more scoring chances than they allow. Season record: 19-11-7 (45 pts).

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27. 27
    

    Columbus Blue Jackets

    (16-15-6)

    Elo: 1475+3 this week7-day: 2-0-0xGF% 56.1CF% 49.7

    The Columbus Blue Jackets climbed 2 spots to No. 27. They had a perfect 2-0-0 week, outscoring opponents 7-3 across 2 games. Their 56.1% expected goals share at 5-on-5 demonstrates strong territorial control, generating more quality scoring opportunities than opponents. Season record: 16-15-6 (38 pts).

    ▲ 2
28. 28
    

    Seattle Kraken

    (16-14-6)

    Elo: 1471+7 this week7-day: 3-0-0xGF% 32.2CF% 37.7

    The Seattle Kraken climbed 2 spots to No. 28. They had a perfect 3-0-0 week, outscoring opponents 10-4 across 3 games. Their 32.2% expected goals share at 5-on-5 is a major red flag — they were thoroughly outchanced at even strength, and if the results don't match, regression is likely coming. They scored at a rate well above their expected goals, suggesting favorable bounces or clutch finishing that may not be sustainable. A 37.7% Corsi indicates they were consistently outshot and spent too much time in the defensive zone. Season record: 16-14-6 (38 pts).

    ▲ 2
29. 29
    

    Nashville Predators

    (16-17-4)

    Elo: 1467-2 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 46.4CF% 54.2

    The Nashville Predators slipped 1 spot to No. 29. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week. Their 46.4% xGF at 5-on-5 was slightly below average, indicating room for improvement in generating quality chances. Season record: 16-17-4 (36 pts).

    ▼ 1
30. 30
    

    Anaheim Ducks

    (21-15-2)

    Elo: 1466-2 this week7-day: 0-2-0xGF% 53.5CF% 55.6

    The Anaheim Ducks tumbled 3 spots to No. 30 after a difficult stretch. They went winless at 0-2-0, being outscored 9-2 in 2 games. A 53.5% xGF at 5-on-5 reflects solid underlying play on both sides of the puck. Despite the underlying metrics, their actual goal share lagged behind expectations — a sign of bad puck luck or poor finishing that could correct itself. Season record: 21-15-2 (44 pts).

    ▼ 3
31. 31
    

    Chicago Blackhawks

    (14-18-6)

    Elo: 1432-4 this week7-day: 1-2-0xGF% 48.0CF% 55.6

    The Chicago Blackhawks hold at No. 31, unable to gain ground in the standings. They posted a 1-2-0 record this week, being outscored by opponents 13-8. Their 48.0% xGF at 5-on-5 was slightly below average, indicating room for improvement in generating quality chances. Season record: 14-18-6 (34 pts).

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32. 32
    

    San Jose Sharks

    (18-17-3)

    Elo: 1419+2 this week7-day: 1-1-0xGF% 52.9CF% 53.8

    The San Jose Sharks hold at No. 32, unable to gain ground in the standings. They posted a 1-1-0 record this week, being outscored by opponents 10-8. A 52.9% xGF at 5-on-5 reflects solid underlying play on both sides of the puck. Season record: 18-17-3 (39 pts).

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