PIT

vs

MTL

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Pittsburgh Penguins	5-7-2	14	-2	51.2	50.8	51.9	21.1%	85.7%
Montreal Canadiens	9-3-2	14	+4	51.8	52.1	50.1	9.5%	81.8%

Betting Considerations

Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

1-6-1 on the road this season

1-1 vs Montreal Canadiens this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Montreal Canadiens

Lost 5 of last 7 games

Killed 5/5 penalties in last 3 games — above their 85.7% average

Montreal Canadiens(Home)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

Won 5 consecutive games

4-2-1 at home this season

Allowing 1.6 goals/game last 5 (-47% vs season avg)

1-0-1 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
A. Silovs80%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected	9	.889	0.74	.731
J. Dobes80%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected	6	.854	0.97	.714

Last 10 Games

Pittsburgh PenguinsMontreal Canadiens

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Oct 31	Montreal Canadiens	Away	L 4–5
Oct 29	Utah Mammoth	Home	L 3–4 (OT)
Oct 24	Nashville Predators	Home	W 3–2 (OT)
Oct 22	Florida Panthers	Home	W 4–0
Oct 19	Utah Mammoth	Away	L 4–5
Oct 17	Vegas Golden Knights	Away	L 2–6
Oct 16	Colorado Avalanche	Away	L 2–5
Oct 13	Chicago Blackhawks	Away	L 3–5
Oct 10	Dallas Stars	Home	W 2–1 (SO)
Oct 9	Columbus Blue Jackets	Away	L 2–3 (SO)