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PITvs
Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)
Chicago Blackhawks(Home)
PITCHI
2026–27 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 3-3-1 | 7 | +3 | 50.3 | 50.4 | 53.5 | 16.7% | 89.5% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 2-5-0 | 7 | -12 | 41.9 | 41.2 | 38.2 | 12.5% | 75.0% |
Betting Considerations
Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
Averaging 2.4 goals/game last 5 (-33% vs season avg)
0-1 vs Chicago Blackhawks this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Chicago Blackhawks
Lost 4 of last 7 games
0/11 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 16.7% average
Chicago Blackhawks(Home)Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
Averaging 3.0 goals/game last 5 (+24% vs season avg)
1-0 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season
Lost 5 of last 7 games
Killed 8/9 penalties in last 3 games — above their 75.0% average
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Silovs80%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected | 4 | .885 | 0.57 | .765 |
 A. Soderblom75%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected | 2 | .820 | 1.53 | .778 |
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