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Philadelphia Flyers logoPHI
vs
TBLTampa Bay Lightning logo
2026–27 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers0-2-24-1235.634.530.50.0%73.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay Lightning2-1-03+156.657.961.20.0%85.7%

Betting Considerations

Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers(Away)
Lost 4 consecutive games
0-1 vs Tampa Bay Lightning this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay Lightning(Home)
1-0 vs Philadelphia Flyers this season

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Dan Vladar, projected starting goalie for Philadelphia Flyers with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisD. Vladar50%Tandem split (50% start rate), 1 consecutive2.8631.71.800
Andrei Vasilevskiy, projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay Lightning with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisA. Vasilevskiy50%Only goalie with starts (3/3 games)3.9000.51.750

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Oct 5Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay LightningAwayL 1–4
Oct 3Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesHomeL 2–3 (OT)
Oct 1New Jersey Devils logoNew Jersey DevilsAwayL 2–3 (OT)
Sep 30Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh PenguinsHomeL 0–7