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Ottawa Senators logoOTT
vs
BOSBoston Bruins logo
2026–27 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Ottawa Senators logoOttawa Senators2-1-03+24747.750.47.7%76.9%
Boston Bruins logoBoston Bruins2-2-04-250.250.548.30.0%72.7%

Betting Considerations

Ottawa Senators logoOttawa Senators(Away)
On 4-game road trip
1-0 vs Boston Bruins this season
Boston Bruins logoBoston Bruins(Home)
0-1 vs Ottawa Senators this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Ottawa Senators

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Samuel Ersson, projected starting goalie for Ottawa Senators with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Ersson50%Clear #1 (33% start rate), 1 consecutive start2.8861.55.800
Jeremy Swayman, projected starting goalie for Boston Bruins with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Swayman50%Clear #1 (75% start rate), 1 consecutive start3.9140.69.875

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Oct 6Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsAwayL 3–5
Oct 5Boston Bruins logoBoston BruinsAwayW 4–1
Oct 3Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsAwayW 3–2