Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs — October 3, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

OTT 3, TOR 2 — the Ottawa Senators got the win on October 3, 2026. OTT got the two points, but TOR held a 3.29-2.24 expected goals edge at even strength. TOR had a big edge in high-danger chances, 16-9 over OTT at 5-on-5. Both teams put 29 shots on net.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Oct 3, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

OTT3 - 2TOR

Oct 3, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TOR	P1	21	15	58.3	15	12	55.6	10	9	52.6	14	9	60.9	8	1	88.9	1.38	0.87	61.3	0	1	0.0
	P2	25	11	69.4	21	9	70.0	14	4	77.8	16	7	69.6	9	5	64.3	1.86	0.83	69.1	2	1	66.7
	P3	24	28	46.2	12	23	34.3	5	16	23.8	19	24	44.2	2	10	16.7	0.85	2.07	29.2	0	1	0.0
	Total	70	54	56.5	48	44	52.2	29	29	50.0	49	40	55.1	19	16	54.3	4.09	3.77	52.0	2	3	40.0
OTT	P1	15	21	41.7	12	15	44.4	9	10	47.4	9	14	39.1	1	8	11.1	0.87	1.38	38.7	1	0	100.0
	P2	11	25	30.6	9	21	30.0	4	14	22.2	7	16	30.4	5	9	35.7	0.83	1.86	30.9	1	2	33.3
	P3	28	24	53.8	23	12	65.7	16	5	76.2	24	19	55.8	10	2	83.3	2.07	0.85	70.8	1	0	100.0
	Total	54	70	43.5	44	48	47.8	29	29	50.0	40	49	44.9	16	19	45.7	3.77	4.09	48.0	3	2	60.0

Win Probability

TOR Favored

OTT Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TOR

OTT

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

OTT Attempts

TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

OTT ShootTOR Shoot

Goal

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Hit Taken

Shot Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (OTT) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TOR players, Columns = OTT players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TOR ↓ / OTT →	Stützle	Pinto	Cozens	Halliday	Cousins	Eklund	Foegele	Zetterlund	Amadio	Giroux	Batherson	Hodgson	Chabot	Spence	Matinpalo	Yakemchuk	Kleven	Sanderson
Matthews	76	46	75	100	100	67	50	100	63	62	40	100	50	63	87	83	79	50
Tavares	83	60	50	50	50	50	71	56	75	63	75	—	67	63	78	75	50	80
Roslovic	50	55	100	86	100	100	33	67	55	58	40	100	42	71	77	67	100	50
Sissons	71	20	67	50	100	50	100	20	0	0	88	100	44	80	—	67	100	100
Blueger	33	57	67	25	75	14	0	50	71	71	0	67	43	36	55	50	80	—
Groulx	100	60	100	50	100	20	—	100	67	67	0	100	60	40	64	100	100	100
Paul	64	50	56	60	86	50	83	33	0	25	62	100	60	67	100	60	100	100
McKenna	70	67	60	50	60	57	71	50	57	67	67	100	58	67	67	57	71	80
Duhaime	40	80	50	29	100	20	—	100	83	83	13	67	60	40	60	40	100	100
Marchenko	75	42	100	100	100	100	50	100	61	55	25	100	53	59	86	67	89	50
Nylander	86	60	78	0	33	63	70	67	78	75	64	0	71	57	82	82	73	80
Cowan	75	50	83	80	86	80	71	50	0	50	78	100	62	67	50	83	80	100
Raddysh	75	73	100	90	92	100	57	80	75	78	57	100	71	72	87	100	85	67
Rielly	62	64	70	43	89	30	57	67	50	64	46	100	41	52	65	57	81	67
Stecher	75	40	73	25	100	40	100	33	43	50	54	67	40	47	38	69	88	100
Ekman-Larsson	71	42	67	73	100	55	100	44	50	53	71	88	45	70	80	75	80	100
Tanev	54	40	38	33	33	44	57	67	33	33	46	100	33	43	50	60	57	75
McCabe	45	25	40	33	33	50	50	50	33	0	42	100	33	0	50	60	67	75