NYI

vs

NYR

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for New York Islanders vs New York Rangers across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
New York Islanders	1-2-0	3	+2	48.4	47	46.1	18.2%	83.3%
New York Rangers	4-1-0	5	+8	47.5	48.6	49.7	21.4%	87.5%

Betting Considerations

New York Islanders(Away)

0-1 vs New York Rangers this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to New York Rangers

New York Rangers(Home)

Won 4 consecutive games

1-0 vs New York Islanders this season

Allowed 2 PP goals on 8 penalties in last 3 games — below their 87.5% average

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
S. Varlamov50%Clear #1 (33% start rate), 1 consecutive start	1	.864	1.01	.1000
D. Garand50%Game tomorrow — starter may rest tonight after 2 consecutive starts	1	.1000	0.00	.1000

Last 10 Games

New York IslandersNew York Rangers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Oct 6	New York Rangers	Away	L 2–5
Oct 3	New Jersey Devils	Home	W 6–0
Sep 30	Toronto Maple Leafs	Away	L 1–2