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Carolina Hurricanes logoCAR
vs
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes63-23-782+5559.258.555.822.7%82.7%
Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers47-31-1482+148.349.25114.8%78.7%

Betting Considerations

Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina Hurricanes(Away)
Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
16 fewer days rest than opponent
29-12-5 on the road this season
7-0-1 vs Philadelphia Flyers this season
0/8 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 22.7% average
Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers(Home)
17 days rest
16 more days rest than opponent
Lost 4 consecutive games
22-15-9 at home this season
Averaging 1.2 goals/game last 5 (-59% vs season avg)
1-2-5 vs Carolina Hurricanes this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Carolina Hurricanes

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Brandon Bussi, projected starting goalie for Carolina Hurricanes with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisB. Bussi60%Tandem split (47% start rate), 2 consecutive39.8940.80.833
Samuel Ersson, projected starting goalie for Philadelphia Flyers with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Ersson85%Clear #1 (33% start rate), 1 consecutive start33.8700.94.791

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
May 25Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensAwayW 3–2 (OT)
May 23Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeW 3–2 (OT)
May 21Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal CanadiensHomeL 2–6
May 9Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia FlyersAwayW 3–2 (OT)
May 7Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia FlyersAwayW 4–1
May 4Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia FlyersHomeW 3–2 (OT)
May 2Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia FlyersHomeW 3–0
Apr 25Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsAwayW 4–2
Apr 23Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsAwayW 2–1
Apr 20Ottawa Senators logoOttawa SenatorsHomeW 3–2 (SO)