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Boston Bruins logoBOS
vs
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers logo
2025–26 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Boston Bruins vs Philadelphia Flyers across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Boston Bruins logoBoston Bruins43-26-1079+1748.548.446.223.5%76.6%
Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers40-27-1279-748.649.451.115.6%77.3%

Betting Considerations

Boston Bruins logoBoston Bruins(Away)
4 days rest
2 more days rest than opponent
Lost 4 consecutive games
15-16-9 on the road this season
Averaging 2.8 goals/game last 5 (-16% vs season avg)
On 5-game road trip
1-1-1 vs Philadelphia Flyers this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Philadelphia Flyers
PP (23.5%) has an edge vs Philadelphia Flyers's PK (77.3%)
Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia Flyers(Home)
2 fewer days rest than opponent
18-13-8 at home this season
2-1 vs Boston Bruins this season
Allowed 4 PP goals on 8 penalties in last 3 games — below their 77.3% average

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Jeremy Swayman, projected starting goalie for Boston Bruins with 85% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Swayman85%Clear #1 (73% start rate), 1 consecutive start53.9060.75.832
Samuel Ersson, projected starting goalie for Philadelphia Flyers with 60% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Ersson60%Rotation likely — 4 consecutive (avg streak 2.2)32.8670.95.795

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Apr 7Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesAwayL 5–6 (OT)
Apr 5Philadelphia Flyers logoPhiladelphia FlyersAwayL 1–2 (OT)
Apr 4Tampa Bay Lightning logoTampa Bay LightningAwayL 1–3
Apr 2Florida Panthers logoFlorida PanthersAwayL 1–2
Mar 31Dallas Stars logoDallas StarsHomeW 6–3
Mar 29Columbus Blue Jackets logoColumbus Blue JacketsAwayW 4–3 (SO)
Mar 28Minnesota Wild logoMinnesota WildHomeW 6–3
Mar 25Buffalo Sabres logoBuffalo SabresAwayW 4–3 (OT)
Mar 24Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsHomeL 2–4
Mar 21Detroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red WingsAwayW 4–2