Game Recap

The Montreal Canadiens defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1 on March 31, 2026. Despite the result, the Tampa Bay Lightning held the edge in expected goals (2.73 to 1.82) at 5-on-5, indicating the Montreal Canadiens received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 12 high-danger scoring chances compared to 3 from the Montreal Canadiens at 5-on-5. Pontus Holmberg was the most dangerous skater with 0.48 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Montreal Canadiens 37-23 in total shots on goal.

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Montreal Canadiens logo
MTL4 - 1TBL
Mar 31, 2026 · Regular Season
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TBLP1161748.5111444.08947.114960.94180.01.190.8957.31150.0
P2221362.915865.212666.7131056.530100.00.940.5463.5010.0
P3261366.7211263.617868.020969.010283.31.910.7970.7020.0
Total644359.8473458.0372361.7472862.717385.04.042.2164.61420.0
MTLP1171651.5141156.09852.991439.11420.00.891.1942.71150.0
P2132237.181534.861233.3101343.5030.00.540.9436.510100.0
P3132633.3122136.481732.092031.021016.70.791.9129.320100.0
Total436440.2344742.0233738.3284737.331715.02.214.0435.44180.0

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTBLMTL
TBL Favored
MTL Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.5P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TBL
MTL
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

MTL Attempts
TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

BSHtS
MTL ShootTBL Shoot
SShot on Net
HtHit Taken
BShot Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (MTL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TBL players, Columns = MTL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TBL ↓ / MTLSuzukiEvansDanaultVelenoNewhookKapanenSlafkovskýCaufieldDemidovAndersonBolducGallagherHutsonMathesonDobsonGuhleStrubleXhekaj
Point061587567832005038205056655963038
Guentzel063648267802505043205057706957044
Goncalves044293371752005030225057252545044
Gourde7033100100677564436767336733867510040100
Cirelli42335029334138295033032786425500
Girgensons7050100100676764435075336720887810040100
Hagel5675868943635653507150509083544033
Paul33635067000675050401001002533100
Kucherov57601008963785350675725568279623333
Holmberg7810010010010010078601001001001003310010010050100
Perry675010010010050100100100050100
Sabourin635010067601006767050100
Raddysh677173796080676355713375648080674375
Lilleberg20294333600202050301125142930222944
McDonagh45808810071674729366750673310089634088
D'Astous251743336033252560221333291729272944
Cernak50508610050505031255050502910086603383
Moser60335050445055504050255045646243330