Game Recap
The Montreal Canadiens defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1 on March 31, 2026. Despite the result, the Tampa Bay Lightning held the edge in expected goals (2.73 to 1.82) at 5-on-5, indicating the Montreal Canadiens received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 12 high-danger scoring chances compared to 3 from the Montreal Canadiens at 5-on-5. Pontus Holmberg was the most dangerous skater with 0.48 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Montreal Canadiens 37-23 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Mar 31, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
MTL4 - 1TBL
Mar 31, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TBL | P1 | 16 | 17 | 48.5 | 11 | 14 | 44.0 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 14 | 9 | 60.9 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 1.19 | 0.89 | 57.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 22 | 13 | 62.9 | 15 | 8 | 65.2 | 12 | 6 | 66.7 | 13 | 10 | 56.5 | 3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.94 | 0.54 | 63.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 26 | 13 | 66.7 | 21 | 12 | 63.6 | 17 | 8 | 68.0 | 20 | 9 | 69.0 | 10 | 2 | 83.3 | 1.91 | 0.79 | 70.7 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 64 | 43 | 59.8 | 47 | 34 | 58.0 | 37 | 23 | 61.7 | 47 | 28 | 62.7 | 17 | 3 | 85.0 | 4.04 | 2.21 | 64.6 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | |
| MTL | P1 | 17 | 16 | 51.5 | 14 | 11 | 56.0 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 9 | 14 | 39.1 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 0.89 | 1.19 | 42.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 13 | 22 | 37.1 | 8 | 15 | 34.8 | 6 | 12 | 33.3 | 10 | 13 | 43.5 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.54 | 0.94 | 36.5 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 13 | 26 | 33.3 | 12 | 21 | 36.4 | 8 | 17 | 32.0 | 9 | 20 | 31.0 | 2 | 10 | 16.7 | 0.79 | 1.91 | 29.3 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 43 | 64 | 40.2 | 34 | 47 | 42.0 | 23 | 37 | 38.3 | 28 | 47 | 37.3 | 3 | 17 | 15.0 | 2.21 | 4.04 | 35.4 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | |
Win Probability
TBL Favored
MTL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TBL
MTL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
MTL Attempts
TBL Attempts
Individual Event Map
MTL ShootTBL Shoot
Shot on Net
Hit Taken
Shot Blocked
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (MTL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TBL players, Columns = MTL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TBL ↓ / MTL → | Suzuki | Evans | Danault | Veleno | Newhook | Kapanen | Slafkovský | Caufield | Demidov | Anderson | Bolduc | Gallagher | Hutson | Matheson | Dobson | Guhle | Struble | Xhekaj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point | 0 | 61 | 58 | 75 | 67 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 50 | 38 | 20 | 50 | 56 | 65 | 59 | 63 | 0 | 38 |
| Guentzel | 0 | 63 | 64 | 82 | 67 | 80 | 25 | 0 | 50 | 43 | 20 | 50 | 57 | 70 | 69 | 57 | 0 | 44 |
| Goncalves | 0 | 44 | 29 | 33 | 71 | 75 | 20 | 0 | 50 | 30 | 22 | 50 | 57 | 25 | 25 | 45 | 0 | 44 |
| Gourde | 70 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 67 | 75 | 64 | 43 | 67 | 67 | 33 | 67 | 33 | 86 | 75 | 100 | 40 | 100 |
| Cirelli | 42 | 33 | 50 | — | 29 | 33 | 41 | 38 | 29 | 50 | 33 | 0 | 32 | 78 | 64 | 25 | 50 | 0 |
| Girgensons | 70 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 67 | 67 | 64 | 43 | 50 | 75 | 33 | 67 | 20 | 88 | 78 | 100 | 40 | 100 |
| Hagel | 56 | 75 | 86 | 89 | 43 | 63 | 56 | 53 | 50 | 71 | 50 | — | 50 | 90 | 83 | 54 | 40 | 33 |
| Paul | 33 | — | 63 | 50 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 50 | — | 50 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 25 | 33 | 100 |
| Kucherov | 57 | 60 | 100 | 89 | 63 | 78 | 53 | 50 | 67 | 57 | 25 | — | 56 | 82 | 79 | 62 | 33 | 33 |
| Holmberg | 78 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 78 | 60 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 |
| Perry | — | — | 67 | 50 | 100 | 100 | — | — | 100 | — | — | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 50 | 100 |
| Sabourin | — | — | 63 | 50 | 100 | — | — | — | 67 | — | — | 60 | 100 | 67 | 67 | 0 | 50 | 100 |
| Raddysh | 67 | 71 | 73 | 79 | 60 | 80 | 67 | 63 | 55 | 71 | 33 | 75 | 64 | 80 | 80 | 67 | 43 | 75 |
| Lilleberg | 20 | 29 | 43 | 33 | 60 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 50 | 30 | 11 | 25 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 22 | 29 | 44 |
| McDonagh | 45 | 80 | 88 | 100 | 71 | 67 | 47 | 29 | 36 | 67 | 50 | 67 | 33 | 100 | 89 | 63 | 40 | 88 |
| D'Astous | 25 | 17 | 43 | 33 | 60 | 33 | 25 | 25 | 60 | 22 | 13 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 44 |
| Cernak | 50 | 50 | 86 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 31 | 25 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 29 | 100 | 86 | 60 | 33 | 83 |
| Moser | 60 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 44 | 50 | 55 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 25 | 50 | 45 | 64 | 62 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
