Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Nashville Predators 3-2 on March 29, 2026. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 52.1% Corsi and generated 2.91 expected goals compared to 1.93 from the Nashville Predators at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Nashville Predators at 5-on-5. Jake Guentzel was the most dangerous skater with 0.67 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Nashville Predators outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 31-28 in total shots on goal.

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Nashville Predators logo
NSH2 - 3TBL
Mar 29, 2026 · Regular Season
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TBLP1102033.371433.31109.171531.82528.60.561.0335.000
P2231757.5171356.711857.917965.41233.31.170.9555.01150.0
P3322259.3281860.9161355.2171454.88466.72.030.9069.22166.7
Total655952.4524553.6283147.5413851.9111150.03.752.8956.53260.0
NSHP1201066.714766.710190.915768.25271.41.030.5665.000
P2172342.5131743.381142.191734.62166.70.951.1745.01150.0
P3223240.7182839.1131644.8141745.24833.30.902.0330.81233.3
Total596547.6455246.4312852.5384148.1111150.02.893.7543.52340.0

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTBLNSH
TBL Favored
NSH Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TBL
NSH
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

NSH Attempts
TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

HtAbHSM
NSH ShootTBL Shoot
SShot on Net
MMissed Shot
AbAttempt Blocked
HHit
HtHit Taken

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (NSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TBL players, Columns = NSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TBL ↓ / NSHO'ReillyStamkosJostSvechkovForsbergL'HeureuxHaulaSchaeferEvangelistaMarchessaultWoodKemellSkjeiJosiBarronWilsbyPerbixHague
Cirelli5633756263385043625050625071636443
Guentzel653874718050716773758333707543556080
Point64437660833873677583830747833506483
Goncalves5036806457504033555050545367675067
Gourde50435029382005738506456506738332043
Girgensons424010050435010010060408367606067674057
Hagel6331735363445050707857586160505054
Paul502040406310000063380833829337525
Holmberg5043805050501005743506063676750505056
Perry80506550100717350751008250907740567875
Bjorkstrand1000505010010005010000508080040
Sabourin0033710001007507575404000
McDonagh383660253330506733384450273336425043
Raddysh6138837383427110067829160687071715669
Cernak383333133329502022382533143323233833
Moser3323755767276767648250676260334550
D'Astous836757648075335043886450897060615056
Lilleberg6750696464100756782679067927173696780