Game Recap
The Carolina Hurricanes defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime on March 20, 2026. The Carolina Hurricanes controlled play with 58.9% Corsi and generated 9.81 expected goals compared to 5.45 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Carolina Hurricanes created 14 high-danger scoring chances compared to 3 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Jackson Blake was the most dangerous skater with 2.09 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Carolina Hurricanes outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 37-26 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Mar 20, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
CAR4 - 3TOR (OT)
Mar 20, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TOR | P1 | 11 | 20 | 35.5 | 7 | 14 | 33.3 | 4 | 8 | 33.3 | 6 | 15 | 28.6 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 0.53 | 1.01 | 34.3 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 16 | 30 | 34.8 | 12 | 22 | 35.3 | 11 | 17 | 39.3 | 13 | 29 | 31.0 | 1 | 11 | 8.3 | 1.14 | 2.42 | 32.0 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | |
| P3 | 17 | 29 | 37.0 | 14 | 20 | 41.2 | 11 | 10 | 52.4 | 11 | 20 | 35.5 | 1 | 7 | 12.5 | 1.47 | 1.74 | 45.8 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| OT | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 44 | 80 | 35.5 | 33 | 57 | 36.7 | 26 | 36 | 41.9 | 30 | 65 | 31.6 | 3 | 22 | 12.0 | 3.14 | 5.23 | 37.5 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | |
| CAR | P1 | 20 | 11 | 64.5 | 14 | 7 | 66.7 | 8 | 4 | 66.7 | 15 | 6 | 71.4 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 1.01 | 0.53 | 65.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 30 | 16 | 65.2 | 22 | 12 | 64.7 | 17 | 11 | 60.7 | 29 | 13 | 69.0 | 11 | 1 | 91.7 | 2.42 | 1.14 | 68.0 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | |
| P3 | 29 | 17 | 63.0 | 20 | 14 | 58.8 | 10 | 11 | 47.6 | 20 | 11 | 64.5 | 7 | 1 | 87.5 | 1.74 | 1.47 | 54.2 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| OT | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.06 | 0.00 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 80 | 44 | 64.5 | 57 | 33 | 63.3 | 36 | 26 | 58.1 | 65 | 30 | 68.4 | 22 | 3 | 88.0 | 5.23 | 3.14 | 62.5 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | |
Win Probability
TOR Favored
CAR Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
CAR Attempts
TOR Attempts
Individual Event Map
CAR ShootTOR Shoot
Goal
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Attempt Blocked
Hit Taken
Takeaway
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (CAR) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TOR players, Columns = CAR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TOR ↓ / CAR → | Staal | Jarvis | Aho | Stankoven | Martinook | Ehlers | Hall | Carrier | Jankowski | Robinson | Blake | Svechnikov | Miller | Walker | Nikishin | Slavin | Chatfield | Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groulx | 22 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 21 | 0 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 0 | — | 25 | 25 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
| Joshua | 38 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 36 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 50 | 0 | — | 25 | 25 | 27 | 67 | 67 | 25 |
| Jarnkrok | 80 | 50 | 43 | 0 | 100 | 75 | 17 | 57 | 56 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 45 | 46 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 50 |
| Tavares | 25 | 57 | 57 | 50 | 22 | 29 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 46 | 38 | 0 | 56 | 55 | 0 |
| Lorentz | 80 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 20 | 57 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 45 | 42 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 33 |
| Domi | 50 | 33 | 33 | 67 | 67 | — | 50 | 100 | — | 0 | 50 | 60 | 33 | 67 | — | 50 | 40 | — |
| Quillan | 100 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 20 | 57 | 56 | 50 | 25 | 33 | 42 | 43 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 50 |
| Maccelli | 33 | 50 | 50 | 20 | 36 | 40 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 0 | — | 43 | 40 | 33 | 25 | 43 | 38 |
| Knies | 0 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 40 | 67 | 0 | 40 | 40 | — |
| Robertson | 20 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 17 | 25 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 50 | 50 | — | 33 | 29 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| Nylander | 25 | 42 | 42 | 29 | 50 | 0 | 14 | 67 | — | 0 | 14 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 0 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
| Cowan | 20 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 17 | 25 | 40 | 40 | 25 | 50 | 45 | — | 33 | 29 | 0 | 56 | 43 | 0 |
| Rielly | 29 | 43 | 43 | 29 | 38 | 27 | 29 | 43 | 33 | 40 | 29 | 100 | 45 | 39 | 13 | 50 | 58 | 25 |
| Stecher | 31 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 50 | 20 | 14 | 50 | 44 | 38 | 17 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 18 | 50 | 40 | 27 |
| Carlo | 31 | 75 | 60 | 44 | 29 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 40 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 11 | 63 | 57 | 22 |
| Benoit | 29 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 29 | 7 | 60 | 50 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 27 | 20 | 14 | 50 | 33 | 14 |
| McCabe | 80 | 40 | 36 | 50 | 100 | 75 | 38 | 100 | 100 | 67 | 20 | 60 | 29 | 50 | 60 | 70 | 55 | 100 |
| Ekman-Larsson | 60 | 33 | 33 | 50 | 57 | 75 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 60 | 29 | 67 | 50 | 56 | 42 | 67 |
