Game Recap
The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in a shootout on March 14, 2026. The Buffalo Sabres controlled play with 66.3% Corsi and generated 9.76 expected goals compared to 4.71 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Buffalo Sabres created 13 high-danger scoring chances compared to 5 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Zach Benson was the most dangerous skater with 2.32 individual expected goals on 1 shots at 5-on-5. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 32-19 in total shots on goal.
← Back to Games

- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on Mar 14, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
TOR2 - 3BUF (SO)
Mar 14, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| BUF | P1 | 19 | 13 | 59.4 | 12 | 13 | 48.0 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 14 | 7 | 66.7 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 1.88 | 2.60 | 42.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 32 | 13 | 71.1 | 24 | 7 | 77.4 | 12 | 6 | 66.7 | 22 | 11 | 66.7 | 8 | 2 | 80.0 | 6.22 | 1.40 | 81.6 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 26 | 10 | 72.2 | 18 | 6 | 75.0 | 10 | 2 | 83.3 | 17 | 7 | 70.8 | 6 | 2 | 75.0 | 3.59 | 0.74 | 82.9 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| OT | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.53 | 0.79 | 40.3 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| SO | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 1.31 | 1.02 | 56.1 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 84 | 40 | 67.7 | 60 | 30 | 66.7 | 35 | 19 | 64.8 | 60 | 29 | 67.4 | 17 | 9 | 65.4 | 13.53 | 6.55 | 67.4 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | |
| TOR | P1 | 13 | 19 | 40.6 | 13 | 12 | 52.0 | 9 | 10 | 47.4 | 7 | 14 | 33.3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 2.60 | 1.88 | 58.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 13 | 32 | 28.9 | 7 | 24 | 22.6 | 6 | 12 | 33.3 | 11 | 22 | 33.3 | 2 | 8 | 20.0 | 1.40 | 6.22 | 18.4 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 10 | 26 | 27.8 | 6 | 18 | 25.0 | 2 | 10 | 16.7 | 7 | 17 | 29.2 | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | 0.74 | 3.59 | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| OT | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.79 | 0.53 | 59.7 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| SO | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 1.02 | 1.31 | 43.9 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 40 | 84 | 32.3 | 30 | 60 | 33.3 | 19 | 35 | 35.2 | 29 | 60 | 32.6 | 9 | 17 | 34.6 | 6.55 | 13.53 | 32.6 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | |
Win Probability
BUF Favored
TOR Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
TOR Attempts
BUF Attempts
Individual Event Map
TOR ShootBUF Shoot
Save
Goal Against
Missed Shot Against
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = BUF players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| BUF ↓ / TOR → | Groulx | Tavares | Jarnkrok | Joshua | Quillan | Domi | Robertson | Maccelli | Knies | Pezzetta | Nylander | Cowan | Carlo | Rielly | McCabe | Ekman-Larsson | Benoit | Myers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson | 93 | 63 | 100 | 83 | 86 | 100 | 75 | 67 | 75 | 100 | 63 | 100 | 77 | 25 | 100 | 82 | 64 | 69 |
| Norris | 94 | 67 | 91 | 80 | 67 | 78 | 90 | 100 | 67 | 0 | 67 | 75 | 94 | 77 | 91 | 57 | 63 | 80 |
| McLeod | 43 | 50 | 67 | 43 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 50 | 75 | 67 | 40 | 43 | 45 | 53 | 75 | 100 | 71 | 57 |
| Ostlund | 89 | 57 | 80 | 80 | 50 | 71 | 88 | 67 | 78 | 50 | 57 | 67 | 67 | 64 | 67 | 63 | 78 | 88 |
| Carrick | 71 | 100 | 100 | 67 | 33 | 50 | 60 | 100 | 100 | 56 | 67 | 50 | 100 | 80 | 50 | 54 | 100 | 100 |
| Krebs | 67 | 57 | 100 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 40 | 57 | 100 | 33 | 50 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 67 | 67 | 50 | 50 |
| Zucker | 73 | 0 | 83 | 60 | 78 | 50 | 43 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 67 | 42 | 88 | 0 | 57 | 60 |
| Benson | 80 | 73 | 100 | 83 | 50 | 0 | 78 | 73 | 50 | 71 | 67 | 50 | 100 | 67 | 73 | 67 | 75 | 75 |
| Malenstyn | 67 | 75 | 100 | 50 | 20 | 50 | 56 | 75 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 75 | 45 | 50 | 100 | 100 |
| Doan | 94 | 75 | 91 | 83 | 71 | 78 | 90 | 100 | 67 | 0 | 75 | 75 | 94 | 77 | 91 | 57 | 70 | 83 |
| Tuch | 83 | 65 | 100 | 63 | 100 | 67 | 70 | 65 | 100 | 100 | 65 | 71 | 25 | 55 | 100 | 100 | 67 | 64 |
| Quinn | 50 | 17 | 71 | 50 | 80 | 50 | 43 | 17 | 75 | 67 | 14 | 50 | 36 | 44 | 67 | 50 | 71 | 57 |
| Dahlin | 89 | 63 | 86 | 67 | 60 | 58 | 71 | 63 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 58 | 89 | 67 | 76 | 70 | 56 | 63 |
| Byram | 56 | 56 | 83 | 33 | 100 | 57 | 45 | 60 | 88 | 75 | 50 | 50 | 44 | 45 | 100 | 82 | 57 | 50 |
| Power | 60 | 67 | 80 | 50 | 67 | 86 | 80 | 71 | 90 | 67 | 60 | 83 | 50 | 56 | 87 | 69 | 80 | 100 |
| Stanley | 69 | 50 | 67 | 77 | 40 | 0 | 63 | 50 | 33 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 63 | 38 | 36 | 89 | 89 |
| Metsa | 86 | 56 | 80 | 0 | 33 | 73 | 82 | 56 | 63 | 67 | 50 | 73 | 64 | 71 | 80 | 86 | 50 | 50 |
| Schenn | 80 | 67 | 100 | 67 | 33 | 0 | 54 | 67 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 25 | 50 | 43 | 40 | 50 | 86 | 86 |
