Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres — March 12, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Washington Capitals defeated the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 on March 12, 2026. Despite the result, the Buffalo Sabres held the edge in expected goals (7.88 to 5.35) at 5-on-5, indicating the Washington Capitals received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Buffalo Sabres created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 5 from the Washington Capitals at 5-on-5. Jason Zucker was the most dangerous skater with 0.96 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the Washington Capitals 30-22 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on Mar 12, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

WSH2 - 1BUF

Mar 12, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
BUF	P1	29	12	70.7	24	8	75.0	15	3	83.3	24	7	77.4	5	2	71.4	5.35	1.09	83.0	1	0	100.0
	P2	19	15	55.9	14	11	56.0	10	6	62.5	11	11	50.0	4	1	80.0	2.60	2.38	52.2	0	1	0.0
	P3	19	24	44.2	12	21	36.4	5	13	27.8	13	17	43.3	3	4	42.9	2.50	4.73	34.6	0	1	0.0
	Total	67	51	56.8	50	40	55.6	30	22	57.7	48	35	57.8	12	7	63.2	10.45	8.20	56.0	1	2	33.3
WSH	P1	12	29	29.3	8	24	25.0	3	15	16.7	7	24	22.6	2	5	28.6	1.09	5.35	17.0	0	1	0.0
	P2	15	19	44.1	11	14	44.0	6	10	37.5	11	11	50.0	1	4	20.0	2.38	2.60	47.8	1	0	100.0
	P3	24	19	55.8	21	12	63.6	13	5	72.2	17	13	56.7	4	3	57.1	4.73	2.50	65.4	1	0	100.0
	Total	51	67	43.2	40	50	44.4	22	30	42.3	35	48	42.2	7	12	36.8	8.20	10.45	44.0	2	1	66.7

Win Probability

BUF Favored

WSH Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

BUF

WSH

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

WSH Attempts

BUF Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

WSH ShootBUF Shoot

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Shot Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (WSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = BUF players, Columns = WSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

BUF ↓ / WSH →	Dubois	Strome	Sourdif	Lapierre	Duhaime	Protas	Ovechkin	McMichael	Wilson	Beauvillier	Frank	Leonard	Sandin	Roy	Chychrun	Liljegren	Fehérváry	van Riemsdyk
Thompson	50	50	67	50	100	90	40	100	67	75	100	50	92	67	50	50	70	92
Carrick	0	64	70	0	100	58	67	0	0	78	100	56	57	67	86	75	57	67
Norris	50	60	0	50	100	85	0	100	67	80	—	60	100	100	67	43	60	91
McLeod	44	0	100	100	50	—	33	42	17	—	50	—	50	44	44	100	33	33
Ostlund	83	33	64	75	100	33	57	100	75	63	100	50	75	64	25	33	83	100
Krebs	67	50	50	67	100	50	0	—	67	50	—	50	50	67	67	50	50	100
Zucker	100	—	—	100	65	100	50	46	100	100	46	—	64	50	100	100	67	83
Malenstyn	0	47	78	—	100	70	46	—	0	78	100	63	100	80	50	86	57	67
Pearson	0	70	78	0	100	70	75	—	0	78	100	63	80	67	86	86	57	67
Benson	100	50	64	100	100	33	50	50	100	57	100	50	78	67	33	67	75	100
Doan	60	60	0	60	100	85	0	100	75	80	—	60	89	80	75	60	75	91
Quinn	100	—	—	100	45	—	50	42	100	—	46	—	29	29	100	100	60	60
Dahlin	67	83	78	60	68	93	50	33	75	83	45	83	67	57	90	88	73	82
Samuelsson	30	45	75	50	50	83	30	25	22	71	40	83	45	40	57	89	50	57
Byram	53	27	83	75	100	50	50	100	46	100	100	33	80	89	40	57	71	83
Power	75	50	86	67	100	43	86	75	67	100	100	25	73	89	83	63	60	75
Stanley	—	50	50	—	100	50	38	50	—	50	67	50	100	33	43	60	57	75
Schenn	—	50	33	—	—	43	33	33	—	33	50	43	50	20	43	60	40	67