Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres — March 8, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 8-7 on March 8, 2026. Despite the result, the Tampa Bay Lightning held the edge in expected goals (8.69 to 6.53) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 14 high-danger scoring chances compared to 8 from the Buffalo Sabres at 5-on-5. Josh Doan scored 2 goals. Nikita Kucherov scored 2 goals. Jason Zucker scored 2 goals. Alex Tuch scored 2 goals. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 42-29 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on Mar 8, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL7 - 8BUF

Mar 8, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
BUF	P1	17	19	47.2	11	12	47.8	10	6	62.5	13	12	52.0	5	4	55.6	2.76	2.32	54.3	1	0	100.0
	P2	21	22	48.8	20	15	57.1	15	10	60.0	15	19	44.1	3	7	30.0	4.04	4.47	47.5	3	4	42.9
	P3	23	23	50.0	22	18	55.0	17	13	56.7	16	17	48.5	6	6	50.0	5.25	4.13	56.0	4	3	57.1
	Total	61	64	48.8	53	45	54.1	42	29	59.2	44	48	47.8	14	17	45.2	12.06	10.92	52.5	8	7	53.3
TBL	P1	19	17	52.8	12	11	52.2	6	10	37.5	12	13	48.0	4	5	44.4	2.32	2.76	45.7	0	1	0.0
	P2	22	21	51.2	15	20	42.9	10	15	40.0	19	15	55.9	7	3	70.0	4.47	4.04	52.5	4	3	57.1
	P3	23	23	50.0	18	22	45.0	13	17	43.3	17	16	51.5	6	6	50.0	4.13	5.25	44.0	3	4	42.9
	Total	64	61	51.2	45	53	45.9	29	42	40.8	48	44	52.2	17	14	54.8	10.92	12.06	47.5	7	8	46.7

Win Probability

BUF Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

BUF

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

BUF Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootBUF Shoot

Goal

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Hit

Shot Blocked

Takeaway

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = BUF players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

BUF ↓ / TBL →	Cirelli	Gourde	Girgensons	Guentzel	Point	Geekie	Hagel	Kucherov	Bjorkstrand	Holmberg	Perry	Sabourin	Moser	McDonagh	Hedman	Raddysh	D'Astous	Cernak
McLeod	73	59	53	50	40	71	67	55	56	57	78	75	72	53	60	68	40	67
Thompson	69	63	60	90	88	100	58	58	80	55	100	100	71	92	75	50	75	100
Norris	38	62	44	44	42	33	20	33	38	17	33	50	56	38	44	56	41	33
Ostlund	50	43	43	50	30	0	17	38	33	14	0	0	50	18	40	55	31	0
Krebs	45	13	14	67	67	—	45	33	0	56	—	—	33	71	38	0	50	—
Carrick	33	67	50	40	29	29	33	0	20	33	44	29	29	25	50	14	40	100
Zucker	73	67	53	100	100	71	67	64	60	55	89	80	88	58	67	80	43	80
Benson	67	71	73	36	41	50	75	42	38	40	56	38	54	55	70	29	56	100
Malenstyn	33	67	67	33	29	33	33	0	20	33	50	33	33	29	57	17	44	100
Tuch	64	30	38	61	50	100	44	38	50	30	50	100	47	73	55	36	67	100
Quinn	73	61	60	50	0	75	67	57	50	69	88	75	81	60	62	75	43	80
Doan	20	62	40	33	38	20	20	33	35	17	25	25	47	35	42	29	39	33
Power	39	56	53	41	45	55	47	40	53	50	60	43	46	46	44	39	46	67
Dahlin	59	44	50	50	36	43	53	50	18	40	63	50	57	36	50	60	41	0
Samuelsson	47	32	33	44	48	43	47	37	42	33	40	25	43	57	33	23	48	56
Byram	77	65	44	53	42	25	63	47	29	67	60	25	68	50	72	50	52	100
Kesselring	50	67	67	0	20	57	50	25	60	40	50	57	43	60	67	17	50	75
Metsa	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	25	50	0	50	0	0	0	14	33	0	0