Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs — March 7, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2 on March 7, 2026. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 54.9% Corsi and generated 9.34 expected goals compared to 7.17 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 13 high-danger scoring chances compared to 9 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. J.J. Moser was the most dangerous skater with 1.39 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 33-29 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Mar 7, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL5 - 2TOR

Mar 7, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TOR	P1	19	21	47.5	12	17	41.4	11	12	47.8	18	15	54.5	4	8	33.3	3.53	5.02	41.3	1	4	20.0
	P2	13	15	46.4	11	9	55.0	8	7	53.3	5	12	29.4	1	4	20.0	1.64	2.03	44.7	0	0	—
	P3	15	21	41.7	12	19	38.7	10	14	41.7	12	18	40.0	6	6	50.0	3.64	5.35	40.5	1	1	50.0
	Total	47	57	45.2	35	45	43.8	29	33	46.8	35	45	43.8	11	18	37.9	8.81	12.40	41.5	2	5	28.6
TBL	P1	21	19	52.5	17	12	58.6	12	11	52.2	15	18	45.5	8	4	66.7	5.02	3.53	58.7	4	1	80.0
	P2	15	13	53.6	9	11	45.0	7	8	46.7	12	5	70.6	4	1	80.0	2.03	1.64	55.3	0	0	—
	P3	21	15	58.3	19	12	61.3	14	10	58.3	18	12	60.0	6	6	50.0	5.35	3.64	59.5	1	1	50.0
	Total	57	47	54.8	45	35	56.3	33	29	53.2	45	35	56.3	18	11	62.1	12.40	8.81	58.5	5	2	71.4

Win Probability

TOR Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TOR

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootTOR Shoot

Save

Goal Against

Missed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TOR players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TOR ↓ / TBL →	Cirelli	Point	Guentzel	Gourde	Girgensons	Geekie	Hagel	Kucherov	Perry	Bjorkstrand	Holmberg	Sabourin	Raddysh	Cernak	Moser	McDonagh	Hedman	D'Astous
Matthews	50	50	33	70	50	100	53	50	75	100	58	—	45	80	44	82	57	75
Tavares	50	43	38	50	0	60	50	56	58	100	50	50	20	64	30	73	33	70
Jarnkrok	33	11	11	33	25	100	33	31	60	17	25	—	29	17	67	33	30	50
Lorentz	20	18	18	25	20	100	20	31	67	14	20	—	30	17	50	25	25	43
Joshua	75	67	57	0	57	50	71	57	67	0	0	50	50	44	75	100	17	75
Domi	80	75	75	0	100	50	67	75	50	0	0	50	100	43	100	50	33	67
Quillan	40	36	36	25	57	—	29	22	0	40	20	—	29	29	0	60	22	57
Knies	47	45	42	100	33	50	41	30	42	100	50	50	9	70	25	76	22	73
Maccelli	36	67	67	78	50	—	33	50	0	100	64	50	42	50	43	67	71	75
Robertson	71	71	60	0	67	50	70	60	50	0	0	50	75	40	89	50	38	67
Nylander	47	33	33	70	42	—	44	29	0	100	58	—	31	80	29	82	50	75
Cowan	30	50	44	100	33	50	27	33	45	100	100	50	0	33	33	57	38	67
Rielly	45	33	30	40	36	50	43	22	46	67	25	50	6	60	14	81	31	80
Carlo	22	38	27	71	47	50	33	29	50	43	71	50	30	38	38	71	36	88
McCabe	17	38	29	100	67	100	33	35	75	20	100	100	56	29	73	60	29	75
Ekman-Larsson	43	75	75	50	57	100	40	70	67	100	25	75	50	50	54	55	75	67
Stecher	33	43	43	38	20	0	29	43	20	43	30	0	0	40	50	67	11	57
Benoit	33	36	36	38	20	0	25	33	25	57	33	0	14	40	50	57	9	50